TPE Theory: Middle Stage Play in Shallow Tournaments with Assassinato (Part 1)
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10 Responses to “TPE Theory: Middle Stage Play in Shallow Tournaments with Assassinato (Part 1)”
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whezer16
This is awesome Alex. So much truth here!
Kingsfull
MORE
TommyTithe
In the hand where we hold K2o in the BB, is the reason why we don’t shove 10bb vs the 2.5x open because we anticipate players calling wide? I play a lot on CoinPoker and BetOnline, and have noticed that pretty much any Ax or Kx, and 22 CAN call here for 10bb (particularly if they don’t risk their life or becoming critical), although I’m not sure about the frequencies on average.
Just joined the site, really like your material so far.
sundaylizard
Did you ever get an answer to this Tommy?
TommyTithe
One more question: on a 25bb stack, for instance, what would be the cutoff point for +BB/hand plays in the context of OOP shoves? With this question I am hoping for a discussion on different bubble or payout scenarios and stack sizes. I’m a big math guy, but this particular topic is very qualitative and experience-based. As a cash game player, I would love for you to weigh in on the topic in general.
I checked your work (similar examples with weaker hands) and was arriving at anywhere from 2.5 to 3bb per hand (w/ a hand like A2o) on some of these counter-intuitive shoves, depending on typical villain opening/stack-off BTN ranges. Basically, if they steal more than 35%, it’s potentially juicy, as long as they are tight vs your AI’s. What’s cool is, if they call a bit wider than AJ+/99+, your allin equity doesn’t go up much… But an increased call range doesn’t increase the overall call frequency by as much as you’d think, since instead of blocking merely AA/AK-AJ, you start blocking stuff like ATo and A9s. So if you think they only call with the top 7%, and it ends up being 9%, their calling frequency doesn’t increase by 22%, due to a good chunk of their increased calling range likely being Ax hands. Since we are already below 28% equity vs a 7% call range, extra calls from Ax doesn’t “hurt” our AI equity! The main point being, if you make a “mistake” and misjudge their calling range, it’s not absolutely a disaster unless you’re way off. This is all very exploitative, and depends heavily on your opponent’s perception of your range, as well as their risk aversion (which increases as the tourney goes on), but it’s a really a cool idea. Thank you so much for sharing this, and looking forward to your reply and future videos.
sundaylizard
Any answer to this one Tommy?
Michael100
Yo’ Poker Edge/ Alex!! When the part 2 comming if there is any ?:D
theroguehood
excellent
sundaylizard
Is anyone actually monitoring the replies? I don’t see this as much of a University if people just comment on some old videos with no response whatsoever.
ROI_RUINER
I play on Poker Stars Pennsylvania with lots of recs and I would lose my mind when they raise 3x in the middle stages because I couldn’t 3bet as much. lol. Makes sense.