One Response to “Sunday Warmup Member Hand History Review with Andrew Brokos (Part 2)”

  1. JacquetK

    Hi Andrew, great series once again, thanks!

    Regarding the QJdd hand at 17:01, I like the way we’ve played it up until river. You suggest betting 6k into 10k and that a big reason for that is that we have a lot of missed draws, meaning we can value bet fairly wide. I definitely agree with that statement in a vacuum but I am rather unsure as to how viable it is on this board:
    Our primary target hands on turn were the ‘weak-showdown’ hands that x’back flop : (77-JJ) & some 6’s, the most likely ones being 99/TT/JJ (which we block). I honestly think you can exploitably even bet bigger on turn “knowing” he’s almost always calling one bet.

    We expect him to cbet his decent Q’s without a club on the flop( but/and even the one’s with), so it’s unlikely he has those.
    If he checks-back some stronger ‘weak-madehands’ on flop expecting us to attack his ‘capped range’ , like JJ or Q with the Kc or Q with the Ac (where he doesn’t mind seeing a club on turn) I’m even less a fan of leading twice.

    However, you obviously need some read on the villain that he’s capable of x’ing back some stronger ‘weak-made hands’ expecting us to attack his ‘perceived’ capped range, so let’s assume that line is unlikely.

    So i’d say 99/TT/JJ are the only real hands we could get some value from and the T is just not a good river for us to be betting twice on tbh, we block JJ, TT beats us & 99 is unlikely to call us because we also have some T’s in our range & a T probably just scares him a little bit. I was honestly very surprised he looked us up with 67s.

    I wanted to x the river and then decide or bet/fold small knowing he’s unlikely to/incapable of raise/bluffing us there. I think he looks us up with some weak hands when we bet closer to 35-40%, but is unlikely to do that when we bet slightly on the larger side.

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