December 30, 2015
I agree. Not much different than a Hyper mixed with a satellite at the end. I’ve played a couple, 2nd in one and would have been 5th a couple of days ago but my power went out and when it came back on I was holding AJs in MP and just shoved. I didn’t notice it was the last hand. Got called by K3o and V hit a K. No need to risk there. Cashed for just 1.5x buy-in.
If I’m going to play Hypers I prefer the new 6-max Super-KO SnG with 24-36 seats. It only takes 2 KOs to break even. I played a series of them last night and out of maybe 7 tourneys I made 1st, 2nd, 4th (bubble) and got 1-2 KOs in all but maybe 2. In my 1st place run I think I scored 9 KOs and often got ~4-5.
These play really fast and are push-fold from the first hand, but I think it is great practice for this aspect of play. Interesting spots still come up. In one I had a big chip lead and the table suddenly went tight so I just started min-raising every pair, Qx, Kx and Ax hand and picked up a bunch of chips. Still, there is a skill-edge in picking spots.
Don’t get me wrong. It definitely takes some run-good. I could have easily gone 0-8 by losing the first race in each. The variance can be high. In fact there was one where I blinded down to ~300 chips from 500, picked up AA and got all in against another AA, then went card dead again and lost a random race.
December 30, 2015
Just to follow-up and prove a point. I went 6-0 playing some MTT SnG super-KO hypers yesterday. I only scored a single KO across all of these and busted the first hand in most. The variance is super high. I was happy with every decision I made, I just didn’t win the flips, or I won the first without a KO and ended up busting.
I’ve noticed the new STT Hypers start with the same 500 chip stack but have a few more levels (level 1 is 10/20 instead of 25/50 for example) so play starts with around 25BB. These may be better for practicing push-fold as they provide a little more opportunity for a skill-edge to make a difference…more play.
My final thought is that I need to ensure I’m risking a very small percentage of my bankroll on hypers to counter the variance. If I wanted to specialize in them I might make the volume needed to see a steady positive ROI (still playing with a smaller ABI), but with the small sample size I actually play I don’t think I can consider them a part of my on-going schedule. They feel too much like gambling to me. Not my style. I’m thinking I should be playing at something like 400 ABI of my bank roll compared to the 100 ABI I use for MTTs and normal speed SnGs (I take a higher than average risk because I’m still playing low enough stakes that I can deposit if I need to).
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