January 5, 2016
Background
Hi everyone, this is my first post here at TPE. I started poker about half a year ago and registered to this site about a month ago. Ever since I registered I have been watching videos on this site and playing poker on a daily basis.
Field
50 cents 45-man turbo SNG (2-3 games almost every day)
Strategy
I think I have the same basic strategy as everyone else: play nitty for first 2 levels, loosen up as blinds get higher, and start shoving “Nash” when short stacked.
I usually analyze 1-2 key hands per SNG. I don’t really go crazy with the analysis and try to stick to the very basics (Nash, c-betting, pot size control, etc).
The Problem
I just can’t get positive ROI. I will ITM sometimes, but not frequently enough to make positive ROI. Money is not really an issue at such a micro stake but I want to become a better poker player and start playing at higher levels. I know this is a very general question, but what should I be doing to improve my game to get positive ROI at this stake (should I be playing in a different field, analyzing hands more rigorously, etc) ?
December 18, 2015
January 5, 2016
Hi All,
Thanks for the replies. It is nice how people send replies to even a noobie like me:)
So, after receiving the comments I decided to run some statistics on my HM.
oelshitshow> How many tournaments are in your database/hand history? If it’s not that many yet, it could just be luck.
After about 150 games and 7000 hands (1/1/2016 – 1/26/2016), my ROI% is stable at -40, while my ITM% is 20. It seems that I place at the bottom of the ITM (4th -7th) a lot. I may not be playing aggressively enough in the late game and on the bubble.
ROI% | ITM% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th |
-40.35 | 18.35 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 6 |
joelshitshow> Sometimes the toughest part about hand histories is knowing which hands to spend more time on.
mykhalzyruskane> I would go much deeper with the analysis and definitely you should be reviewing way more hands than just 1 or 2 key hands. I review every hand where I put chips into the pot. You will start to see where your leaks are when your review and analysis runs deep.
Thanks for the advice. Right now I only analyze the hand I busted and maybe 1 or 2 big pots. This is probably not helping me at all. But on the other hand I don’t want to over-analyze my hands and fall into the noobie trap of result-oriented analysis (“I would’ve hit the set on the turn if I called the raise”, etc). I guess I need to watch one of those hand analysis videos on TPE.
icantmtt>If you want more play, the 18,27 and 45 man regular sit gos are a good bet.
Thanks for the advice. I think I am going to play more regular 45 mans so I can get more hands in for the money.
icantmtt>Be sure to identify and note regs.
Yes, I should start doing that and utilizing the notes function…
icantmtt>Push wider, call tighter
Yup, I think I am calling way too much trying to make Hero calls too often. I always find myself short stacked during the mid/late stages of the games, so I need to grow some balls and start taking more risks.
Also, I decided to take a look at my basic stats based on 7900 hands.
Total Hands | VPIP | bb/100 | PFR | Agg | Agg% | WTSD% | W$SD% | W$WSF | 3Bet | 4Bet Range |
7903 | 21.4 | 5.42 | 18.2 | 4.25 | 42.1 | 49.7 | 47.8 | 45.9 | 7.36 | 5.13 |
vs 3Bet Call% | Flop vs Raise Fold% | Flop CBet% | Turn CBet% | Flop Fold vs Cbet | Turn Fold vs Cbet |
27.7 | 61.7 | 81 | 55.8 | 45 | 40 |
Compared to the data pool shown on the HM website (although the data pool is for 6 max SNG this will have to do), it seems that I am playing too aggressively post flop (agg%, CBet% is all above the optimal median). Since my showdown percentage is high (WTSD% is above optimal median), I think a lot of people call with anything at these micro stakes and I should probably stop C-betting with completely nothing against certain players.
I wish more can be said from these numbers but that is really beyond my current capability…
Conclusion and Next Steps
- I’ll adjust my game based on everyone’s advice (thank you!) and stat analysis.
- Since this is a “Goals and Challenges” thread, my current goal will be to make positive ROI in 45 man regular $1 SNGs starting from now untill the end of February.
- I should also start doing more analysis but, before I do I want to learn HOW to analyze my play so I don’t end up in a “the blind leading the blind” situation (where I am both the leader and the follower).
Thank you for everyone’s comments, and hopefully I’ll have the will to keep on updating this thread!
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