Original link here: …..ost9348392
OP: “They were doing this on Mike and Mike in the morning. The goal is to name as many teams as possible without taking the eventual Super Bowl champion. Pretend you get $100 for each team you are right about, but you don't get anything if any team on your list wins it all. So here's my list:”
im curious from Game Theory standpoint what would be the optimal number of picks for this game? you could very easily pick 4-8 teams with just about 0 risk and make $400-800. But u could also pick about 22 teams in the NFL and still be in “pretty good” shape not to lose it all (and get $1400-1800 more). what u guys think?
my initial thought was that the game theory optimal strategy would be to pick around the number of teams that dont make the playoffs each year. so if 6 teams make the playoffs from each conference (4 division + 2 wild cards), you should be picking approximately 20 teams (with some plus/minus depending on teams that could go either way).
its my guess that this approach would maximize value while minimizing risk
Most Users Ever Online: 2780
Currently Online:
112 Guest(s)
Currently Browsing this Page:
1 Guest(s)
Top Posters:
bennymacca: 2616
Foucault: 2067
folding_aces_pre_yo: 1133
praetor: 1033
theginger45: 924
P-aire 146: 832
Turbulence: 768
The Riceman: 731
duggs: 591
florianm1: 588
Newest Members:
adrianvaida2525
Anteeater
Laggro
Philbro
acekingsuited
Lber16
Forum Stats:
Groups: 4
Forums: 24
Topics: 12705
Posts: 75003
Member Stats:
Guest Posters: 1063
Members: 12005
Moderators: 2
Admins: 5
Administrators: RonFezBuddy, Killingbird, Tournament Poker Edge Staff, ttwist, Carlos
Moderators: sitelock, sitelock_1