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Your Shoving Range - PS 10r Deep
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RonFezBuddy
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August 31, 2010 - 1:47 pm
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Trying to get a better handle on my shove ranges.  Have both smallish and biggish stacks behind me.  What is your shove range here?

Poker Stars $10 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t3500/t7000 Blinds + t700 – 9 players
Hand Conversion courtesy of Tournament Poker Edge

surfstar33 (SB): BB = 31.2, t218706
tmd929 (BB): BB = 11.5, t80280
trikkeeroy (UTG): BB = 34.9, t244625
sycuan1 (UTG+1): BB = 14.1, t98837
gibby2000 (UTG+2): BB = 30.1, t210428
mlbdream (MP1): BB = 16.6, t116519
donkish1 (MP2): BB = 30.0, t209910
RonFezBuddy (CO): BB = 16.7, t117153
ch1kn d1ner (BTN): BB = 12.8, t89413

Pre Flop: (t16800) RonFezBuddy is CO with ??
5 folds, RonFezBuddy raises to t116453 all in

jshilling09
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August 31, 2010 - 2:27 pm
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Well your M=7, but the BB may be calling light because of his smaller M.  I still shove all pairs, A8o+ A5s+ KTo+ K9s+ QJs.

jshilling09
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August 31, 2010 - 3:00 pm
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Wow, for some reason I thought you were in the highjack, I add all suited aces, A5o+, JTs, maybe T9s, 98s, and 87s as well.  Sorry my mistake.

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August 31, 2010 - 3:07 pm
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any sb fold to steal % bb fold to steal % on the opp.?

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RonFezBuddy
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August 31, 2010 - 3:13 pm
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swet1 said:

any sb fold to steal % bb fold to steal % on the opp.?


 

No, i was getting bounced around and probably had been here 8 hands max.  One thing to note is that this is the 10r with 10 min levels so while I was short I wasn't that far under average.  One double up would have me in top 20 of 80.

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August 31, 2010 - 3:28 pm
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Well, take this for what it is worth, according to the Kill
Phil book, the equilibrium push range for an M of 7 in the CO would be:

22+, A7o+, A2s+, KTo+, K9s+, QJo, Q9s+, JTo, J8s+, T8s+,
98s+, 87s

Now, the equilibrium assumes your opponents are playing
optimally, if they aren’t then by adjusting your range (wider for tighter opponents, tighter for looser opponents) you would have an exploitive strategy that would be higher ev then the equilibrium strategy.

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August 31, 2010 - 3:43 pm
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RonFezBuddy said:

swet1 said:

any sb fold to steal % bb fold to steal % on the opp.?


 
No, i was getting bounced around and probably had been here 8 hands max.  One thing to note is that this is the 10r with 10 min levels so while I was short I wasn't that far under average.  One double up would have me in top 20 of 80.


 
I'm pushing any two with reliable stats that say the remaining players can fold but in the absence of that I say…top 40% (44+,A2s+,K2s+,Q4s+,J7s+,T7s+,97s+,87s,A3o+,K7o+,Q8o+,J8o+,T9o)

EDIT: Although thinking more I say you prob. will have trouble finding a better spot to shove your remaining 16bb (on a steal) any two and hope they all fold.
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August 31, 2010 - 4:24 pm
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whoisjgalt said:

Well, take this for what it is worth, according to the Kill
Phil book, the equilibrium push range for an M of 7 in the CO would be:

22+, A7o+, A2s+, KTo+, K9s+, QJo, Q9s+, JTo, J8s+, T8s+,
98s+, 87s

Now, the equilibrium assumes your opponents are playing
optimally, if they aren’t then by adjusting your range (wider for tighter opponents, tighter for looser opponents) you would have an exploitive strategy that would be higher ev then the equilibrium strategy.


 

This seems right…I gotta check my chart….I use my chart so often I can just see shoves now w/o looking

ttwist

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September 1, 2010 - 12:50 pm
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any pair up to 10 10 JJ i prolly minraise and hope someone spews,suitedaces,suited connectors from 89+, all connecting paint.

HITTHEPANDA
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September 1, 2010 - 12:50 pm
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a7o, a2s+, k8o+, k5s+, any pair, 56s+, j9o, 109o

mostly because they aren't calling correctly

lepoetwrites
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September 2, 2010 - 11:50 am
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it's after the re-buy… yeah?

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RonFezBuddy
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September 2, 2010 - 11:56 am
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lepoetwrites said:

it's after the re-buy… yeah?


 

yes

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Metasploit
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September 2, 2010 - 12:16 pm
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My answer would have simply been “wide” lol

almost any two in my opinon given position and stacks

FkCoolers
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September 2, 2010 - 12:17 pm
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HITTHEPANDA said:

a7o, a2s+, k8o+, k5s+, any pair, 56s+, j9o, 109o

mostly because they aren't calling correctly


this is where I need to open my game more. I fold the lower part of those a ton and should probably be opening/shoving.

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RonFezBuddy
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September 2, 2010 - 1:11 pm
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FkCoolers said:

HITTHEPANDA said:

a7o, a2s+, k8o+, k5s+, any pair, 56s+, j9o, 109o

mostly because they aren't calling correctly


this is where I need to open my game more. I fold the lower part of those a ton and should probably be opening/shoving.
 


I value bad aces too much.  I shoved A2o.

FkCoolers
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September 2, 2010 - 2:31 pm
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I think I'd shove a suited A2 but would fold an offsuit Ace below A9. So I'm close to HTP's suggested range but a little too nitty …

mmfitter
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September 2, 2010 - 9:29 pm
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 17 bbs, but only 1 double up from being among table chips leaders. Two shortys to our left that may be calling with anything reasonable so I'm keeping it semi tight:

around 17% ,  55+,A5s+,K9s+,Q9s+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+,QJo.

Plus everything depends on your perceived image – how often you've been opening fr late, what you've had to show down lately, etc.

So If I havent played many hands over the last couple of orbits, I may widen it up a bit – not crazy about the QJo :] (recent thread).

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September 3, 2010 - 2:09 am
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HITTHEPANDA said:

a7o, a2s+, k8o+, k5s+, any pair, 56s+, j9o, 109o

mostly because they aren't calling correctly


 


 I didn't want to see the other responses before I answered – I knew that the optimal shoving range would be wider than my range. So I wanted to answer  honestly, not in a way that I thought would meet someone else's approval.
 

But Panda, this isn't way too wide?

I tried to put the numbers in the spreadsheet, but I don't know how to figure the fold frequency of three players multiplied by their average calling range and so on.

So I just singled out the BB with a stack pf t80,280, folding 85%, calling 15%.

K8o vs that range is about 30%

So 85% of the times RF picks up +t10,030

When he is called (15% of the time) and wins(30%) the bb's stack plus whats in the pot =+t4143  

Then subtract when he is called (15%) and loses (70%)  his stack =  -t12,301

= +1,872.

 

So this means  K8o vs the bb's calling range of 15%, it would be slightly + ev but certainly not the right move bec the amount won on average will not out- weigh the risk of being busted.

And when u add hands like JTo, 56s, 8Ts, the numbers arent that different.

So I'm pretty sure ( and please let me know if I'm wrong) that this range is not profitable enough to make vs just the bb. Add the other two players, and I just cant see how shoving this range is correct – especially when the “big” stacks are relatively close to each other.

Plus the fact that this 18bb stack is only one double up away from being among the leaders – an important shoving factor in sitngos, right?

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RonFezBuddy
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September 3, 2010 - 8:40 am
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I would think that the response to the above question about shoving for +1.8k in EV being worth the risk of bustout is that we're not close enough to payouts that are significant enough to pass up any +EV spots.  If this were a FT bubble or early in an FT I think you'd want to pass on the marginal spots.  But here there are like 110 left and large payouts are still pretty far away.

 

In addition, this is a 10r with 10 min levels.  You really can't afford to let +EV spots go because you just may not get another one anytime soon.  Between blinds going through me and blinds going up, I'll be <10bbs in no time at all.

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September 3, 2010 - 1:42 pm
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OK, RF, I see. I have read that some successful online players will take any +ev, no matter how small or when in the tourney. I think Grapsfan wrote an article regarding this recently.

I'm just a nitty live player who is trying to get better and I truly appreciate the opportunity this site offers to ask a question or state an opinion such as this.

You make a great point about the blind levels escalating quickly and the opportunity to wait for a better spot may not come before your 18bb stack quickly becomes a 10bb stack.

Killingbird went over a couple of my muliti table sitngo hh's and he also told me I'm not open shoving wide enough , so now I def know that's something I have to work on.

 I've already started opening that range, but sometimes it just doesn't feel comfortable. I guess it must be like golf – when you take a lesson and the coach gets you to do something you're not accustomed to, it feels uncomfortable at first. 

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September 3, 2010 - 3:49 pm
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lepoetwrites said:

it's after the re-buy… yeah?


 

haha epic

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