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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy what the correct river play?

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what the correct river play?

gutbuster200

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October 6, 2012 - 6:15 pm

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t25/t50 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

alexvolf163 (UTG): t4235 84.70 BBs
katie75013 (UTG+1): t2606 52.12 BBs
adamy19 (UTG+2): t901 18.02 BBs
DerRolf999 (MP1): t5710 114.20 BBs
Hero (MP2): t7174 143.48 BBs
eurovalve (CO): t5286 105.72 BBs
themexican24 (BTN): t5786 115.72 BBs
mrlogik (SB): t10629 212.58 BBs
mayodog (BB): t4737 94.74 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is MP2 with 5 of hearts 5 of diamonds
alexvolf163 calls t50, 1 fold, adamy19 calls t50, 1 fold, Hero calls t50, eurovalve calls t50, themexican24 calls t50, 1 fold, mayodog checks

Flop: (t325) 5 of spades A of clubs Q of hearts (6 players)
mayodog checks, alexvolf163 checks, adamy19 bets t311, Hero calls t311, eurovalve folds, themexican24 calls t311, mayodog folds, alexvolf163 folds

Turn: (t1258) T of diamonds (3 players)
adamy19 bets t540 all in, Hero calls t540, themexican24 calls t540

River: (t2878) A of spades (3 players – 1 is all in)
Hero checks, themexican24 che

JLUDEOBV

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October 8, 2012 - 1:19 am

Never checking this river. Bet/fold is the best play. We get called by hands that are worse and hands that have us beat should be raising river.

jjpregler

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October 8, 2012 - 6:23 am

Never folding this river. You essentially have the second nuts. TT, QQ, AQ and AA, all raise preflop. The only hand that may limp behind that beats us is AT, and if he has that good for him. Bet/call river.

duggs

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October 8, 2012 - 6:40 am

b/f river, he isnt going to be bluff raising us and his value range is more likely A10 A5 1010 where as everything else from a passive villian just calls

jjpregler

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October 8, 2012 - 9:31 am

So in a $5 game you think this villain will never raise Ax? Or KJ?

JLUDEOBV

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October 8, 2012 - 2:30 pm

As always duggs and I agree. Would be silly here for someone to raise with KJ or Ax. Is it possible in a $5 tournament? Yes but I still think it's unlikely.

swet1

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October 9, 2012 - 12:36 pm

Def. bet the river ~1250 and I'm not sure I'm folding if raised, depends on the raise size and history with that villain (if any).

I know the question is about the river play but FWIW, I'd raise pre and on the flop.

florianm1

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October 16, 2012 - 5:19 am

he overlimps pre and gets to the river with A2-A9,KT,KJ,KQ,QT,QJ (119combos)

the only hand we are beat by villain on the river is A5 and very unlikely AT. I assume he raises that pre. All other hands he most likely raises pre.

so if we bet he likely calls with A2-A9 and KJ(86combos), folds most likely KQ,QT,QJ (33)

so we def have to value bet here. the main question is the amount.

i seriously consider overshoving the river as he is calling most likely with the same range as he would call a 1/2bet. and the fact that there is only 1combo we are beat makes this play the most EV play imo.

cheers

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