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What does my range look like here? B/C/B line
duggs
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February 7, 2013 - 1:55 am
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2r turbo 7k, post addon 
Assuming readless, straightforward opponent
whats hands should i be bluffing with, and what is the worst value hand i can bet here?
 
 
PokerStars - $2+$0.20|200/400 Ante 50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

LP: 14,875.00
CO: 12,017.00
BTN: 23,735.00
SB: 11,010.00
BB: 11,920.00
UTG: 16,310.00
Hero (UTG+1): 22,673.00
MP: 9,070.00
MP+1: 8,950.00

LP posts ante 50.00, CO posts ante 50.00, BTN posts ante 50.00, 
SB posts ante 50.00, BB posts ante 50.00, UTG posts ante 50.00, Hero posts ante 50.00, MP posts ante 50.00,
 MP+1 posts ante 50.00, SB posts SB 200.00, BB posts BB 400.00

Pre Flop: (1050.00) Hero has XX

fold, Hero raises to 800.00, fold, fold, LP calls 800.00, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (2650.00, 2 players) Th 6s Jd
Hero bets 1,600.00, LP calls 1,600.00

Turn: (5850.00, 2 players) Jc
Hero checks, LP checks

River: (5850.00, 2 players) 5d
Hero bets 4,400.00, LP calls 4,400.00


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usedstars
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February 7, 2013 - 5:48 am
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Spoke to Duggs about this hand on Skype earlier, Here's the transcript (He first asked me what i thought his range was):

 

[6:08:25 PM] Daniel Henderson: Strong Tx looking for value, 55 obv. Maybe QQ KK AA but not sure how often you check turn, a J makes up a bit of his range and there's not many draws out there. Don't think 66 TT or JT as you would want to build a bigger pot. And maybe some Jx but again I don't know how often you would check turn and miss value. Don't think your range has underpairs 77-99 since they have some showdown value and your never getting him off better hands. If I'm including bluffs I would put KQ only, not AK as for the reasons stated with the underpairs.
What do you think of the range I've given you?
[6:09:04 PM] Tom (Duggs): about right
[6:09:11 PM] Tom (Duggs): did you look at the river sizing?
[6:09:22 PM] Tom (Duggs): whats his range?
[6:12:37 PM] Daniel Henderson: River sizing is a leak of mine so I'm not sure what to make if its value or bluffs. His range looks to me like the underpairs 77-99, middle to good Tx, with the occasional strong Tx
[6:13:07 PM] Tom (Duggs): so what do you think the worst hand i can vbet then?
[6:13:52 PM] Daniel Henderson: KT
[6:13:58 PM] Tom (Duggs): hmm
[6:14:02 PM] Tom (Duggs): yea i thought Q10
[6:14:06 PM] Tom (Duggs): but i think its close
[6:14:26 PM] Tom (Duggs): nice
Nqon
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February 7, 2013 - 6:16 am
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Jupp. Agree. Range is QT or stronger or total air. His range is heavily weightedto 77-99. Perhaps T9, QT KT and a rare AT that didnt bet turn for x reason.

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duggs
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February 7, 2013 - 7:10 am
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i think AQ/98 are definitely in his range before the river bet also

Nqon
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February 7, 2013 - 7:19 am
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they dont stab the turn?

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duggs
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February 7, 2013 - 7:22 am
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sometimes, but not always, i think underpairs stab the turn also

Nqon
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February 7, 2013 - 7:47 am
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Yeah, but i think the checkback is more often a made marginal hand than a drawing hand. Calling and not trying to take it away on the turn is soo bad if you dont have any SD value.

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rumsey182
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February 7, 2013 - 11:13 am
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my big question is if we are vs a weak player in a 2r why are we caring about what our range looks like when he will not give a shit what it looks like just look at his hand and say yes or no

duggs
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February 7, 2013 - 5:37 pm
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rumsey182 said:

my big question is if we are vs a weak player in a 2r why are we caring about what our range looks like when he will not give a shit what it looks like just look at his hand and say yes or no

just because he cant hand read doesnt mean we shouldnt hand read him. i was planning on c/f turn as i dont think he bets worse than a J often enough and i can confidently go for value on river when he checks back

rumsey182
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February 8, 2013 - 10:01 am
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duggs said:

rumsey182 said:

my big question is if we are vs a weak player in a 2r why are we caring about what our range looks like when he will not give a shit what it looks like just look at his hand and say yes or no

just because he cant hand read doesnt mean we shouldnt hand read him. i was planning on c/f turn as i dont think he bets worse than a J often enough and i can confidently go for value on river when he checks back

we can guess at some hand ranges, but just saying readless random and putting a texture down doesn't give a complete picture. Timing, any other hands played, simply the way the field seems to be playing that night, can all factor in. I don't like trying to take stabs without a clear idea of all the aspects and likely you should be knowing better then anyone else just looking at this and throwing an abitrary range out there

duggs
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February 8, 2013 - 7:02 pm
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rumsey182 said:

duggs said:

rumsey182 said:

my big question is if we are vs a weak player in a 2r why are we caring about what our range looks like when he will not give a shit what it looks like just look at his hand and say yes or no

just because he cant hand read doesnt mean we shouldnt hand read him. i was planning on c/f turn as i dont think he bets worse than a J often enough and i can confidently go for value on river when he checks back

we can guess at some hand ranges, but just saying readless random and putting a texture down doesn't give a complete picture. Timing, any other hands played, simply the way the field seems to be playing that night, can all factor in. I don't like trying to take stabs without a clear idea of all the aspects and likely you should be knowing better then anyone else just looking at this and throwing an abitrary range out there

This is pretty frustrating, i put readless random since i hadnt played any hands with him really, and all his stats were extremely uncoverged and not extreme enough to draw any conclusions from. Timing is a tell you need a baseline to determine with which i cant have had here, how the field seems to play on the night is absolutely irrelevant to how he will play.

 

I had A10o here and thought it was a pretty easy value, and obv we can use default ranges v randoms.

 

i really dont get what you are trying to say?

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