February 14, 2013
Well plugged in my best guess for MP1s range on the flop as QTo-QJo, QJs-Q8s, T8s-A8s, and gave him 9 combos of flush draws A2-A9s, and T9s-K9s. No clue how great this range is but w/e. Vs this you have ~67% equity. If you take out all the 8x combonations you still have 46%. If you take out 5 combos of the flush draws we have ~38% equity. I probably would puke fold in game, but seems pretty clear you should go with this from what I’m looking at in equilab, so good call I think lol. Also I Think you pretty much always have utg2 beat here thus I largely ignored him.
July 12, 2013
March 10, 2016
Pretty gross spot. I think I would fold or just call and fold vs turn or river aggression. If we call and fold to aggression we have 20BBs and an ok stack compared to the other stacks around. I dont think MP1 will get out of line if we call as we basically have a Q and hopefully will check down his lower pairs which I see as the only other hands possible other than broadways which have a Q in them that call the shove. Whenever MP1 has a queen we are drawing very thin. In my opinion the hands that we want to see such as AA and KK raise pre to gii with UTG+2. Looking at the stack sizes and how you are not a super shortstack…4 players basically have the same stacks getting crippled here to 9BB doesnt seem best. I dont fault you for gii’ing in this spot but with regards to ICM I would opt for lower variance play and laddering whenever possible. (p.s I think the limper can have some Q’s like KQs, KQ, AQ if he is very passive and is afraid to gii pre)
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
I think it’s a get it in spot. V1 is almost never going to do this with Qx, and you block Qx anyway so you don’t have to worry about V2 having much Qx in their range.
In terms of call vs reshove, I think it’s a shove. You need to either get it in with maximum equity vs V2 or force them to fold out whatever equity they have. Both are good results here.
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