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15 left itm in $22 mtt on 888 with 12 minute blinds. Villian seems to be a good thinking player and is playing solid but a bit tight. Villian 19/11 over 93 hands, me 13/7 (both playing tight as everyone is a calling station at this site:) He has also folded to my shoves even with his stack earlier so I think I actually have fold equity vs him if first in.
His first raise for ages and he's UTG so I figure I'm a flip at best but also likely up against an overpair. Should I wait to be first in or for something with more equity or just get it in here?
Ty in advance.
Cassava Poker $20 + $2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t600/t1200 Blinds – 8 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
SB: t26472 22.06 BBs
Hero (BB): t8542 7.12 BBs
UTG: t82212 68.51 BBs
UTG+1: t34460 28.72 BBs
MP1: t13248 11.04 BBs
MP2: t13392 11.16 BBs
CO: t12349 10.29 BBs
BTN: t14489 12.07 BBs
Pre Flop: (t1800) Hero is BB with 3
3
UTG raises to t2580, 7 folds
Final Pot: t3000
UTG wins t2580
(Rake: t420)
I doubt that you have fold equity. He is raising into a table full of shortstacks and you w 7BB in the BB, so he is probably never opening without the intention of calling, which means you are probably not getting the right odds, esp $EV, to call. You are obv very shortstacked, but I think you can still fold and then you have one orbit to find a hand you are comfortable jamming, especially into the other shortstacks, against which you are probably gonna have FE.
this is an easy fold. calling off with 33 is never good, as its behind almost everything. Yes, wait for your allin vigor. gl
October 6, 2010
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better off shoving the next 2 hands in a row with any 2 imo
bennymacca said:
better off shoving the next 2 hands in a row with any 2 imo
agreed
I have the villian's range to be
77+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, ATo+, KQo which is 11% of hands less A9s, KTs and QTs
Against this range you have 40% equity and no fold equity.
The chipEV of getting it in here is: 0.4(9142) – 0.6(7342) = -748.4 chips or -0.62 bbs
TPE Pro
August 3, 2011
Offline
Agree to folding and above. Very likely he has a strong hand here with the 5 stacks with <10 bbs behind that he should be calling their reshoves.
Thanks all. Figured it was a fold and it’s good to get confirmation.
Cheers from Aus:)
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