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This is the Bigger $11 on Stars (100K), I feel I have to c-bet this flop 100% of the time but not sure if I should fire a second barrel on the turn.
Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t75/t150 Blinds + t20 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
BB: BB = 19.5, t2920
UTG: BB = 140.5, t21075
UTG+1: BB = 32.7, t4898
UTG+2: BB = 31.5, t4720
MP1: BB = 39.0, t5852
Hero (MP2): BB = 54.6, t8192
CO: BB = 81.4, t12210
BTN: BB = 33.0, t4950 (72 hands 11/3/0) He's a rock..note on player is aggro post flop in position.
SB: BB = 54.0, t8105
Pre Flop: (t405) Hero is MP2 with 8
8
4 folds, Hero raises to t375, 1 fold, BTN calls t375, 2 folds
Flop: (t1155) A A
5 (2 players)
Hero bets t519, BTN calls t519
Turn: (t2193) 3 (2 players)
Hero ??
I think check/calling the turn vs an aggro player is better to let them bluff.Depending on the river card i check and then decide based on their betsizing etc.
I get torn sometimes in these situations. I feel like soooooooo many people float nowadays that we have to 2 barrel so much more often because everyone knows a c-bet is coming. I feel as if we do two barrel here he probably is going to give us credit for having an ace a good amount of time and will fold some hands that beat us 99-JJ
Given your read that he is agg post flop and will try and represent, I think I might check/raise this flop and really find out where you are at. Given your read, if you check he is gonna fire and a check/raise is a likely play from a player with an A here so I think you are representing it with such a line. I understand your line with the cbet but he is gonna float you so often from position on that board that it puts you in a tough spot.
Definately two barrel. Most players in low stakes MTTs auto 3bet AQ, AK preflop. Hard for me to believe an ace makes up a large part of his calling range here pre. He’s going to call you on the flop with 22,33,44,55,66,77……etc. 88 crushes his calling range.
It’s wayyyyyyy better to bet/fold this turn than to check call and play a guessing game.
Most people won’t give you credit when you C bet this flop and are willing to take a turn. Since two aces flopped it’s even less likely he holds an ace. Wouldn’t be surprised if he called you again on the turn with a worse pair.
as played – due to floating I reccomend a 2 barrel. But given your read I actually prefer a check raise on flop, we can expect him to bet based on your read…
As you say he has stats of a rock so we can be confident he has an A if he calls / raises our cr.
If i wanted to rep an ace on this board I wouldn't go for the check raise on the flop.
I think the board is to dry to rep the ace with a check raise, I would go for the check call on the flop and check raise the turn.
If he checks behind on the flop then bet turn. thoughts ?
Sjetan112 said:
If i wanted to rep an ace on this board I wouldn't go for the check raise on the flop.
I think the board is to dry to rep the ace with a check raise, I would go for the check call on the flop and check raise the turn.
If he checks behind on the flop then bet turn. thoughts ?
Agree with this. Check/raise flop looks way too fos.
This is a difficult hand because you're OOP.
It's tough to rep an ace if you lead the flop. I don't think he's folding all of his smaller pairs to a flop bet. I think I check the flop to get value from worse on later streets. (Although in the moment I'm sure I probably cbet the flop…)
If he checks behind on the flop I think it's OK to check the turn. If he bets the turn, you can comfortably check/fold (depending on sizing?). Remember we're only 33 bb effective.
If you intend on turning your hand into a bluff by betting the turn, you pretty much have to open jam the river.
If the turn checks through, he's very likely to have a smaller pair and will pay off a value bet. I'd bet/fold the river.
72 hands early in a tournament is a small sample size. I'm not sure if you can really call him a rock based on 72 hands early.
Check/call flop, check/fold turn, bet/fold river IMHO.
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