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(1 votes) 
March 4, 2014
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So we were 3 left in the MTT. Btn seems ok reg, while BB is on a fishy side (28/14 after 187 hands). We did not have
dynamics between us, however before on the final table when we were 9 handed or so BB did called a raise from CO
on Btn with 66 and did a weak raise to a cbet on 37739 board, called weak bet on turn and did check the river.
Also when we were 4 handed in a SB vs BB situation on J high board when his opponent showed weakness on flop
he did stab 1/2 pot on turn with bottom pair and then checked the river.
Btn 9,789,373
SB Hero 10,324,214
BB 4,611,413
Blinds 50k/100k, Ante 25k
Hero has Ah 5d
Btn folds Hero raises 300000 to 500000 BB calls 300000
*** FLOP *** [5s Ts 2s] Hero bets 388888 BB raises 388888 to 777776 Hero calls 388888
*** TURN *** [Qs] Hero checks BB checks
*** RIVER *** [Jc] Hero?
Would you bluff in this spot and if so - how much would you bet?
(Wanted to mention that my bluffing candidates would be 66-99 and 10x hands without a flush,
maybe weak flushes but I kinda doubt that he has weak flush here given his line)
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
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Very good spot for this. Even though you have a pair you've got damn near 0 showdown value and with a spade turning you can't really have air in your range so this is a good candidate to bluff. I wouldn't rule out low flushes, Villain could have flopped it or I wouldn't even rule out his min-raising the flop with 9s8x or something. I wouldn't try to target those with a bluff though because they will be about the top of his range after he checks back turn. You've got the right target, I'd bet ~40% pot, the same thing I'd bet with like Tx9s.
September 5, 2013
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Why do we want to turn our hand into a bluff on the flop? And why do we only want to bet 40% pot on the river. The spade turn lowers the frequency of bluffs (bluffs will bet turn) and increases the frequency of showdown value/toprange hands in villains range. So if we turn our hand into a bluff, why don't we want to bet bigger. Besides that I think it will be very exploitable to valuebet the river with low flushes.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
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pckrrr said:
Why do we want to turn our hand into a bluff on the flop? And why do we only want to bet 40% pot on the river. The spade turn lowers the frequency of bluffs (bluffs will bet turn) and increases the frequency of showdown value/toprange hands in villains range. So if we turn our hand into a bluff, why don't we want to bet bigger. Besides that I think it will be very exploitable to valuebet the river with low flushes.
I don't see the flop bet as a bluff, although a lot of the value does come from getting Villain to fold hands with good equity (ie random overs, random spades).
You should watch my series on bluffing, I go into a lot of detail about how to choose a bluff target and size your bluff accordingly.
How do you think Villain can exploit Hero if he knows Hero will value bet 9s on the river?
September 5, 2013
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Raising rivers more often. %b/f range getting a bit big if we only want to b/c the higher flushes.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
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If 9h is close enough to the top of your betting range, you don’t have to fold to a raise. Easy game.
October 21, 2013
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It’s really intresting what Andrew says about betting 40% to call with a 9s in a spot like this, i would have never thought about it…
(i assume you mean vs a good thinking player obv cause otherwise vs fish i think it’s kinda suicidal…)
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