What next people.. Are we ever folding here ?
Is there value in c/s this flop after villain limps pre, considering effective stacks ?
Villain 9/4/2.0/23H
PokerStars Game #55290028161: Tournament #401010201, $5.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit – Level XVI (1250/2500) – 2011/01/04 1:39:48 ACST [2011/01/03 10:09:48 ET]
Table '401010201 41' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: xRUNAxRUNAx (129350 in chips)
Seat 2: chippawafred (53474 in chips)
Seat 3: hopeuget2nd (90514 in chips)
Seat 4: kresza14 (39924 in chips)
Seat 5: Lysozyme (73087 in chips)
Seat 6: daugy65 (40372 in chips)
Seat 7: Testy Cool (43254 in chips)
Seat 8: juanaso69 (82622 in chips)
xRUNAxRUNAx: posts the ante 250
chippawafred: posts the ante 250
hopeuget2nd: posts the ante 250
kresza14: posts the ante 250
Lysozyme: posts the ante 250
daugy65: posts the ante 250
Testy Cool: posts the ante 250
juanaso69: posts the ante 250
Testy Cool: posts small blind 1250
juanaso69: posts big blind 2500
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to xRUNAxRUNAx [Ts Th]
xRUNAxRUNAx: raises 3099 to 5599
chippawafred: folds
hopeuget2nd: folds
kresza14: folds
Lysozyme: folds
daugy65: calls 5599
Testy Cool: folds
juanaso69: folds
*** FLOP *** [7s 4d 9s]
pinkolino66 is connected
xRUNAxRUNAx: bets 8999
daugy65: raises 8999 to 17998
??
The stats dont say much because of the super small sample size but it does show that hes pertty tight / nitty pre-flop the last few orbits. The fact that he's flatting your raise with a less then 20 bb stack worries me and the min-raise / click it back on the flop looks even more scary. I think the play is either check/shove or just jam it in on the flop instead of making a standard c-bet. If you are beat to an overpair here I would consider it a cooler (would others?)
Having said that, his value range hands are probably sets and overpairs and just about anything that beats you. I think he's to shallow pre-flop to set mine profitably and if he flatted your open with something like KQh on that flop he just getting it in instead of clicking it back.
You could be up against a huge hand here but it's tough without more information. I think you need to decided on the flop if you are going with the hand or not. It's a pretty good flop for 10-10 so you prob should just get it in although I think you are beat 🙁
I think he has KK or AA here.
July 3, 2010
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