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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy TPNK ITM Big 55

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TPNK ITM Big 55

Gareth Chantler

Grinding Micros

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April 6, 2013

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April 6, 2013 - 11:19 am

Poker Stars $50+$5 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t500/t1000 Blinds + t100 – 8 players – View hand 2167107
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

BTN: BB = 41.1, t41052
SB: BB = 19.2, t19190
BB: BB = 17.3, t17279
UTG: BB = 15.0, t15020
UTG+1: BB = 52.4, t52448
MP1: BB = 26.3, t26346
Hero (MP2): BB = 48.4, t48409
CO: BB = 11.7, t11703

Pre Flop: (t2300) Hero is MP2 with A of clubs 4
3 folds, Hero raises to t2000, 3 folds, BB calls t1000

Flop: (t5300) 6 of hearts A 8 of diamonds (2 players)
BB bets t2000, Hero raises to t4888, BB calls t2888

Turn: (t15076) 7 of hearts (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (t15076) 5 of clubs (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t10553

My question here really stems from the flop play. Villain is weak, playing 16/7/6 over 44 hands with AF =1. I think though that they would have 3b AT+ in this situation. So my view is that we should consider ourselves to have the best hand on the flop and be willing to go with it. But that really still leaves three options

1 call flop to do something on the turn/river

2 raise small as played

3 shove

We are recently in the money. I don't think villain is considering my image too much but I'm playing 30/25/5 ish at the table over 45 hands. No recent showdowns come to mind as important. I think turn/river is reasonable but if you have other thoughts I am all ears.

florianm1

Playing The Prelims

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April 6, 2013 - 1:05 pm

BB defending range with his tight stats about
AA-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KJo,QJo,JTo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs

vs his entire range our hand has 57% equity on the flop

on Ah6h8d he has TP+ 42% of the time and he might get it in with TP+ and flush draws which are about 44% of all hands

against that range we are actually a 15:84 dog

packallama

High Stakes Shark

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April 6, 2013 - 6:03 pm

I agree with you that BB is most likely 3b shoving AT+ preflop, but I disagree with your reasoning to raise the flop. He can still have A9- which includes only 8 hands we beat and 36 combos of aces we are behind. Calling the flop allows him continue to bluff with air which most likely has very little equity. It also allows us to play IP if a flush or straightening card peels the turn and he continues to barrel.

black666

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April 7, 2013 - 6:05 pm

I just shove. You have TP on a draw heavy board with a SPR of 3. No need to get tricky and put yourself into tough spots.

Gareth Chantler

Grinding Micros

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April 14, 2013 - 5:29 am

@florianm1 I am not sure about your equity calculation. I also think AA-22, AKo-ATo, etc, that range you listed, is pretty inaccurate. I think he three-bets a ton of pairs in this situation. His HUD stats are for the sample overall, not how he plays this exact situation. In fact, I think he plays every AXs for example, three-betting some and calling the rest. But I also think he plays a lot of hands you didn't include in that range, suited connectors and one gappers for example. Anyways, long story short, I think we can be pretty confident shoving is a winning play.

@packallama I feel like the hands he bluffs with probably have decent equity, hands like T9, 79, 75, and flush draws. I don't really see him doing too much barreling oop with QJ

@black666 the only reason I would disagree is because we are in position with a skill edge v our opponent. I don't mind getting in tough spots if I am going to make more money in them as opposed to having avoidid them.

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