March 4, 2014
So we were down to 2 tables – about 13 left. MP seem to be an agressive player (35/26 after 24 hands), however
seems like he can value bet too thin. Some time before he did early position raise with A7s and on A3K10K board
he 2 barreled against BB defend and seemed like he was intending to make a 3rd barrel, but was frustrated by
King on the river (he did complain about that in chat). So on the flop I felt like he will cbet alot and decided to call with intention to bluff later. On the turn I wasn't sure if he will barrel lite with a draw, but will probably try to make thin value bet.
On one hand I felt like I have a strong draw and should probably shove, on the other hand it seemed like I had pretty low fold equity here. What are your thoughts?
25000/50000 Blinds + ante 5000 - 7 players UTG: t885383 UTG+1: t2288692 MP: t2264841 CO: t1937122 BTN: t813507 SB: t2892496 Hero (BB): t1371034 Pre Flop: (t110000) Hero is BB with 6d 5d 2 folds, MP raises to t100000, 3 folds, Hero calls t50000 Flop: (t260000) Qd 8c 9s (2 players) Hero checks, MP bets t157200, Hero calls t157200
Turn: (t574400) 8d (2 players) Hero checks, MP bets t352000, Hero?
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
This is definitely NOT a pre-flop fold. It’s not a question of style, it’s a clearly profitable call and folding is losing money as surely as calling a bet when you’re beat on the river is losing money.
I agree that flop should be a fold. It’s not so much that I’m worried about being dominated as that you’ve only got a few outs and given the description of the opponent you aren’t likely to get a free river. Also because he’s a an EP raiser, it will be tough to bluff him off later. I’d be more comfortable shoving turn against a LP raiser, against EP I think it’s a fold though it is close and I’d consider calling as well.
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