July 13, 2012
Here we are ~ the final 2 tables of the Merge nightly $33 5k gtd and the villian in the hand is running ~ 33/30 over a decent enough amount of hands and he is among the chip leaders and has been opening nearly every pot folded to him min raising just about every other hand for a good while,showing down from marginal hands and two painted cards all the way up to mid pairs during this time.My question is if we are playing to win this tournament and not to try and climb the pay scale is this the correct play here?
Merge No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t600.00/t1200.00 Blinds – 7 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
poker1ChipRoy (BTN): t20385.00 16.99 BBs
Hero (SB): t17789.00 14.82 BBs
gettsome187 (BB): t18308.00 15.26 BBs
ducksallin222 (UTG): t27015.00 22.51 BBs
realdeeb (UTG+1): t78687.00 65.57 BBs
GrundleHair (MP): t56183.00 46.82 BBs
Charlie325 (CO): t34422.00 28.68 BBs
Pre Flop: (t1800) Hero is SB with 3 3
2 folds, GrundleHair raises to t2400, Charlie325 calls t2400, 1 fold, Hero raises to t17669, 1 fold, GrundleHair raises to t48207, 1 fold
Flop: (t38938) K J Q (2 players)
Turn: (t38938) Q (2 players)
River: (t38938) T (2 players)
October 6, 2010
i think i just fold pre here, i doubt you have a lot of FE
July 20, 2012
You don't have much fold equity here, you are going to be racing most of the time though the flat could even be inducing your squeeze. Having said that you are pretty short, you are 50% or 20% when called, you do have some fold equity and there's a nice pot to pick up so I am fine with the jam.
May 30, 2012
I would just muck this. Big stack is opening into 3 shove stacks of 17bb or less so you would think he has a hand he can call off with. Its also a great spot for the cutoff to flat a monster because he can induce a squeeze shove from the shortys behind and then get more chips from the chip leader when he re-isos. I'm not as concerned with this possibility because it requires the villain thinking on a higher level but its still something to keep in mind.
October 6, 2010
i would much prefer to open shove any two cards the next hand to be honest, prolly jam 77+ though, maybe 66
June 5, 2012
If villain is strong, he probably has to call super wide to protect his opens. I'd say you're probably slightly worse than flipping against his range as a whole.
I really don't think it's terrible…just high variance. It would probably be bad if Charlie was tight/good, so it depends on your reads on him.
With the structure in that tourney, though, you can probably afford to be a little more patient.
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