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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy Top pair against turn shove - draw …

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Top pair against turn shove - draw heavy board

kardi31

Grinding Micros

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March 29, 2016

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December 27, 2017 - 7:09 pm

$11 Sunday Rebuy – around 120 players left

PokerStars – 4500/9000 Ante 900 NL – Holdem – 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 30.15 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
MP: 57.06 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP+1: 29.87 BB (VPIP: 42.86, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 7)
MP+2: 25.03 BB (VPIP: 37.14, PFR: 27.27, 3Bet Preflop: 11.76, Hands: 35)
CO: 6.25 BB (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 39)
BTN: 39.22 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 36)
SB: 29.03 BB (VPIP: 20.42, PFR: 18.98, 3Bet Preflop: 8.14, Hands: 242)
Hero (BB): 63.52 BB
UTG: 49.03 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

9 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has J spade K club

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, MP+2 calls 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (7.4 BB, 3 players) J diamond 4 diamond 8 heart
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets 3 BB, MP+2 calls 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Pre & flop I didn’t see much reason to do anything else here.

Turn: (16.4 BB, 3 players) 9 heart
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP+2 bets 19.93 BB and is all-in,

Hero?

Reveal Spoiler

I feel like Villain wants to maximize his fold equity here (which is decent anyway). Low SPR gives him plenty of room for this play.

Once me & UTG1 checks the turn, I think V is shoving most of his flop check-calling range like any pair with OESD/flush draw, two pair, some straight draws get there, probably a flush draw with no pair.

Hero raises to 58.42 BB and is all-in, fold

River: (56.25 BB, 2 players) 9 spade

Hero shows J spade K club (Two Pair, Jacks and Nines)
(Pre 45%, Flop 84%, Turn 0%)
MP+2 shows 9 club 9 diamond (Four of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 55%, Flop 16%, Turn 100%)
MP+2 wins 56.25 BB

theginger45

TPE Pro

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January 1, 2018 - 12:56 pm

This is awkward. You unblock all the draws, but one of them (QT) got there, and UTG+1 can still have the occasional better hand behind you like 99 or QQ, which you don’t block. I think I like folding, just because it seems like villain’s range is going to contain two specific categories of hands:

1. Value hands that dominate us

2. High-equity draws

In circumstances like that, facing a pot-sized bet or larger, folding seems optimal. With AJ we may have a slightly greater chance of dominating villain’s value ourselves, so I might not fold AJ, but since it’s unlikely villain does this with QJ, I think we fold here.

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