Hello TPE,

A few spots, all in Button-3 and all with between 9 and 15BB in late stages have been giving me the willies. My question is twofold:
– Am I being too wide by shoving here even though push/fold charts consider them pushes?
– Whether or not this is too wide, is it a close enough decision that these mistakes vs. correct decisions are only likely to affect our game a little bit, and we should focus on finding bigger leaks?

Merge Network $600 Gtd [Turbo, Deep] (79884624-1) No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t800.00/t1600.00 Blinds + t160.00 – 6 players – View hand 2608925
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

PackYourKnivesAndGo (BTN): BB = 27.3, t43681
pajic27 (SB): BB = 10.4, t16640
ATLmaddog31 (BB): BB = 13.3, t21280
Hero (UTG/Button-3): BB = 8.7, t13930
acesRidn88 (HJ): BB = 13.3, t21360
PuppyP (CO): BB = 6.8, t10881

Pre Flop: (t3360) Hero is with Q K

Hero?

Several weeks ago I posted a thread called “Push range in this simple FT spot?” with a similar situation, holding A7o and I got good responses.
Poster Al29 said that I should plug all the stack sizes and information into an ICM calculator and I have been trying to learn how to do that. I know what ICM is and how it works on a basic level, but I don't understand yet how to perform this particular ICM function – deriving the profitable push range in given FT spots. I have download Slice but don't see a tab on it that does this.

I am trying not to be results oriented, but in order to do this I must confront my results oriented demons. I can recall, for sure, that I have picked up nice pots uncontested here, boosting my stack by 15-20%, but I can also recall at least three bust outs very recently where I ran into exactly AK or AKs after pushing in exactly button-3.  Of course yet other times the hand run into is AA, KK, etc.

It's very possible and likely that this has just been the short term tendency that I've been seeing recently, and maybe I need to realize that the shove is profitable, considering uncontested pots + suckouts. But regardless, I must wonder if what I am seeing is truly a leak, that maybe I should tighten up the bottom of my shoving range in this particular position?

And the other part of the question – if it's too wide, is it actually a close enough decision that I could just choose which method I prefer and play it my best, knowing there's no huge mathematical edge between shoving or not shoving borderline hands? And therefore I can try to focus on other leaks?

Any comments are appreciated. If I am missing something obvious – a program that gives you a template for this push range calculation or a video that discusses this specifically, I'd most appreciate a point in its direction.

Thanks for reading!