I like the 3b and the sizing. You can't just have a plan for the guy opening UTG. What happens if one of the other four players behind you 4bets you? Are you 5 bet jamming? Seems to me your image at this table is pretty wild so you will get some players to adjust to your 3b and start 4betting you lighter. The problem is your position at the table and the awkward stack sizes. I'm not sure I really would like to “induce” a 4b shove here and contemplate calling off a majority of your stack with 77. If you were the one 4 bet jamming it would be different. A vast majority of the time you are flipping in this situation. Obv it is high variance and I don't have a problem with that, but if you are running over the table you might not have to take this high variance route. No one at the table is deeper than 33 bb's so there really isn't a ton of room for play. Based on that, I like the high variance route and your thought process of 3b/c here with 77. I think villain spazzes with 66-22 here based on your image and history at the table. Win the flip and put yourself in great position to punish the table as they won't be able to do much with their 20-30 bb stacks.

RonFezBuddy said:

Too high variance imo.  He turns over bigger pairs too often.  I think you got your desired result this time but won’t most of the time.

It is def very high variance. I think if villain is a good player he is def going to be making a play here often. I know I would against someone who has 3b me a lot. I think the real question when debating whether or not to induce here with 77 is… “Will villain ever 4b jam here with worse?” If the answer is yes then I def like this play. If it is no then there is no point in trying to induce a 4b shove against a player that really isn’t competent. We know your image but I think it is important to know the villain’s image as well when making plays like this and thinking “outside the box”.

at least we all agree it's very high variance, something i'm not that accustomed to

i chose to play this way to test my comfort level and found it was ok

it just seems that the most aggressive people these days are the ones that pick crazy and extemely high variance lines, accumulate chips and make deep runs

by the way i ran the math on this one giving villain a range like 22+A5s+A9o,K9s+KJo,QTs,QJo and it's something in the vicinity of being +EV by a little over 600 chips which is 4bb

i think given that particular tourney i didnt need to take that line, it's one of my favourite tourneys i've previously shipped, but i took the risk to try and get that 60bb stack and become table captain

btw i kinda felt good

I agree with a few things in here. It's high variance yes and JLUDE is right if you think he is not a compitent player that understands what you could be making a play here with then it is probally fine. Overall I wouldn't be risking everything on it.