August 4, 2013
I got a HUD about 6 months ago and my tourney ROI has definitely gone up but i really don't look at many stats other than VPIP, PFR, 3bet %, and Cbet %. I know I need to go deeper to maximize my profitability. Just started looking at my own stats and now wondering what a competent pro sees as most exploitable in my game, as gleaned by their knowing my stats. Thought it would be interesting if I shared a few numbers and people can chime in on which of my stats/tendencies stands out and if indeed there is an optimal number to have for any action and then if anyone wants to share how they looked critically at their own stats and successfully plugged a leak in their game.
my last 40,000 hands:
vpip:22
pfr:16
3bet: 8.5
3bet steal: 18.5
hmmm, does this mean i am 3 betting too much from the button and i need to do it more from early and middle position?sadly, a statistic i cannot quite break down in a logical manner
fold to 3bet preflop: 75
the fold to 3bet was a real eye opener for me. i either need to bring my pfr down or start light 4 betting more frequently, yes?
cbet: 78
also too high, right? is their an indisputable correct percentage to cbet that means one is perfectly balanced…i think i've heard 67% should be the target. i'm lost on this one but 78% seems high, good players are going to float me more and even raise turns with air when i double barrel (which is often)
i fold to cbet 52% of the time, no clue what this number tells my opponents, is it too low?…am i too floaty? too sticky?
aggression factor: 3.3. my half-assed google search told me that anything above 3 is too high and the skilled TAGs are targeting players like me. Again, not yet able to decipher this one. Time to roll up the sleeves and get to work.
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
These stats are far too general to really get anything from them. It would be very difficult for anyone to exploit you in anything but the most minor ways if they knew only these stats. Someone could tell you “fold to 3-bets less often” or “c-bet less often”, but that doesn't fix the potential leak – there are any number of ways in which you could act on that advice, and any number of reasons why the stat could be at that level in the first place. There are no 'perfect numbers' in any category – there are numbers which make more sense and work together based on different playing styles, but there are always good players who break the mould stylistically.
The most useful thing you can do, in my opinion, when it comes to reviewing your own HUD stats, is to look at your EVbb/100 numbers for certain situations. These are your winrates, and they're one of the most overlooked factors in MTT performance. Your ROI is one thing, but your ROI doesn't tell you anything about your leaks.
In order to find leaks in your game, filter your results by different scenarios, and look at your graphs, hole card grids, and EVbb/100 numbers. Filter for spots where you 3-bet, called 3-bets, raised in position, floated the flop, etc, etc, etc. I'm not sure if you're using HM2 or PT4 but as a HM2 user I find it particularly useful to run reports that show my my EVbb/100 by position – if your EV is lower in middle position than on the button, for example, you're probably making mistakes on the button.
Just remember throughout all of it that your own HUD stats are a function of the decisions you make, and not the other way around – if poker was simply a matter of tailoring your HUD stats until you find the right formula, it would be easy. It's figuring out why your HUD stats look the way they do that will give you greater insight into your game.
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