I'd like to start this first post off with a big thank you to all the TPE staff, especially Wein and Hagbard, as after only a month being a member I feel my post flop play has improved considerably. Keep up the great work.
KingPin was running 40/27 over 82 hands with a 2.1 agg factor. I hadn't seen him get too out of line post flop.
This is a spot I find myself in occasionally and wonder if my passive line is costing me, especially on the turn. Does anyone consider a block bet on the turn? A check-shove? With villains stats I assume he is never folding Kx.
Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t500.00/t1000.00 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
KingPin0023 (MP2): t75299.00 75.30 BBs
WPrates (CO): t18572.00 18.57 BBs
barcs69 (BTN): t8353.00 8.35 BBs
cracker9ball (SB): t19065.00 19.07 BBs
triplee151 (BB): t16808.00 16.81 BBs
bujub65 (UTG): t21631.00 21.63 BBs
Foxwoods777 (UTG+1): t42824.00 42.82 BBs
jwadden4 (UTG+2): t48372.00 48.37 BBs
Hero (MP1): t45284.00 45.28 BBs
Pre Flop: (t2400) Hero is MP1 with A Q
3 folds, Hero raises to t2395, KingPin0023 calls t2395, 4 folds
Flop: (t7190) 5 K 5 (2 players)
Hero bets t3695.00, KingPin0023 raises to t8435, Hero calls t4740
Turn: (t24060) J (2 players)
Hero checks, KingPin0023 bets t12325.00, Hero calls t12325
River: (t48710) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, KingPin0023 bets t17475.00, Hero folds
Check-call on the turn seems pretty horrible, putting in ~1/3 of your remaining stack. If you hit the river you might not even get him to put in any more chips, and it's possible (though in fairness unlikely) that you hit and are still behind.
I'd be getting it all in on the flop once he raises you. Yes it sucks that you don't have 2 overs to go with your flush draw, and the A might not be good (since players with stats like that love to flat AK pre-flop), but you definitely have some fold equity here, since people love doing crazy stuff with air on paired boards.
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