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March 9, 2015
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As you mention V is a donkey, I would play the hand exactly as you did until the river when I would raise for value. Against a thinking opponent you are right that it would be hard to get called by worse, but against a donk I think he would call with most aces and 2 pairs.
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TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
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I would fold turn. Just because V could be betting worse doesn’t mean calling will be profitable for you. Plenty of his “worse” will have a lot of equity against you, and you’re drawing almost dead against the many better hands he could have (eg any Ace).
River I would just call a larger bet, might attempt a min-raise against a weak player making such a small bet, pretty close IMO.
December 30, 2015
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I agree, fold the turn. Two things come to mind. First is that V may be checking an A or better to call or c/r and when you check behind, V may just be leading because he missed a bet. The second is if I asking myself if I want to make a set and the answer is “no” then I know I shouldn’t be calling. Not only that, one of your Q outs is dirty.
…all of that said I have to admit that I could see myself playing the hand the exact same way. It would be really hard to call the turn and fold that river, and I could see calling the turn against an ABC player that could be betting only thinking about the current street. I’d know the Q is not a good card but I don’t know if I could fold it in-game….so, well played, but with time to think I’d fold the turn (or like to think I would…but probably wouldn’t, because….leak).
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