Maniackid11 said
Ok, I guess it’s best to first address what I am asking. I think I played this poorly and I honestly don’t know why. Maybe I should be checking flop, firing turn/river. IDK. Any help would be greatly appreciated.

WPN, 150/300 blinds, 30 ante No Limit Hold’em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager – The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 4,996 (16.7 bb)
BB: 6,710 (22.4 bb)
UTG+2: 17,544 (58.5 bb)
MP1: 1,008 (3.4 bb)
MP2: 33,696 (112.3 bb)
MP3: 7,396 (24.7 bb)
CO: 17,910 (59.7 bb)
Hero (BTN): 22,007 (73.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2 2
2 folds, MP2 calls 300, MP3 calls 300, CO calls 300, Hero calls 300, SB completes, BB checks

Flop: (2,040) 9 7 2 (6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets 1,530, 4 folds, CO calls 1,530

Turn: (5,100) J (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

River: (5,100) T (2 players)
CO bets 16,050 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:[spoil] 5,100 pot
Final Board: 9 7 2 J T
CO mucked and won 5,100 (3,240 net)
Hero mucked 2 2 and lost (-1,860 net)
[/spoil]  

Obviously, it somewhat depends a little on how the villain has been playing. Is he bluffing a ton? Is he a rock? Without having that information, I think we look at ranges in a vacuum.

Pre-flop he calls a pot where two people have already limped. If he has a monster it seems like he would raise since AA, AK, etc. doesn’t play as well multi-way as it does head’s up. So we are probably looking at a low to medium pair where he will be set mining or medium suited connectors or something like A-10 suited where he hopes to flop the world.

After the flop you bet and he just calls. He either just calls with a straight draw (8-10, 6-8) or a diamond flush draw for unmade hands or he might have a set of 7s or 9s which has you crushed. I suppose he could be floating with two over cards but A-K we already said seems unlikely to have that since he didn’t raise pre-flop into multiple limpers. Or he could have pure air and has a plan to take away the pot later in the hand. All things being equal, I think you are likely ahead at this point.

The flop is the jack of diamonds. The flush draw just got there. A straight (8-10) just got there. The fact that he checks means he either is slow playing (set over set, straight or flush) to induce or has pure air. I suppose ace-9 might check hoping to get to showdown inexpensively. Pure air would check if he has simply given up, although pure air might also take a stab at the pot.

The turn is a 10 and even more straights just got there. Now he shoves all in. Given that you checked the turn I suppose it is possible he thinks you are showing weakness and jammed. So you beat a pure bluff and maybe something like one pair with a 9, 10 or jack or two pair that hit late in the hand. On the other hand, you are beat by a ton. Straights got there, flushes got there, set over set. The way the hand was played I think it is way more likely that he shoves having you beat. While it was an exciting flop, I think folding is the right decision (unless he is a maniac who bluffs constantly even then I think he probably got there to have you beat).

I think it was a good, but painful, fold.