villain is playing 30/20 3b24 (about 30hands) he has 3b my last 3 opens, he had just lost a pot the hand before, opr stats are not good
call or fold?
Poker Stars $200+$15 No Limit Hold’em Tournament – t75/t150 Blinds + t20 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
cliff47 (UTG): BB = 37.7, t5649
morrri (UTG+1): BB = 38.0, t5698
kangis (UTG+2): BB = 34.5, t5168
pvas2 (MP1): BB = 114.9, t17240
parivax (MP2): BB = 72.6, t10895
Hero (CO): BB = 175.2, t26284
KSakuraba (BTN): BB = 65.1, t9770
Cresp0 (SB): BB = 82.5, t12380
megamakar (BB): BB = 63.0, t9450
Pre Flop: (t405) Hero is CO with 9 of diamonds 8 of diamonds
5 folds, Hero raises to t300, KSakuraba raises to t744, 2 folds, Hero calls t444
Flop: (t1893) 6 of spades 6 of clubs 9 of spades (2 players)
Hero checks, KSakuraba bets t888, Hero calls t888
Turn: (t3669) 5 of clubs (2 players)
Hero checks, KSakuraba bets t1611, Hero calls t1611
River: (t6891) K of spades (2 players)
Hero checks, KSakuraba bets t6507 all in, hero?
Wow tough spot bada, good post. Villian you describe would definitely be capable of 3barreling with air. His bet sizing is actually good imo which is scary. His two barrel looks like a standard two barrel with good bet sizing and then his river bet could definitely be him catching that K and making it look like a bluff for max value. It is definitely the perfect bluff card but feel like he would continue making it look like value if he was bluffing by betting just under half pot. You dont have too much invested, think I fold given my read.
Sample size is way too small to assume that villain is capable of 3barrelling with air here. It’s pretty likely that if he’s already 3bet you three times in a row he’s going to know that you’re waiting for a hand to let him 3bet you with, so there’s going to be a higher than normal % of strong hands in your range here. This is a terrible spot for him to be bluffing because of how little credit he can expect you to give him – I think I just fold river, if we didn’t pick up a gutshot on turn there might even be an argument for folding there.
July 3, 2010
Yeah our hand is just a bluff catcher vs stuff like AQ/AJ
Even spades and AK got there on the end.
I mean … 3 betting stats and post flop tendencies are apples and oranges. Take a guy like TeeCrames on Merge… 12% 3bet but the most passive post flop fish in the world for a reg.
i agree with the ginger this is not a good spot for him to be bluffing you at all, after someone has 3 bet you 3 times they are more likely to have a much stronger range the next time unless they are just a compelte nut, but by the river you beat like AQ only
what was your plan when you called the turn? are you check calling off river bricks? i just dont think people are really 3 barrelling this spot this early into a 215 (what im guessing was the million)
i think we can fold turn here a lot of times and if we somehow make it to river i am always folding to a bet
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