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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy Rivered Flush and 4 board strt.

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Rivered Flush and 4 board strt.

lapp3r30

Winnipeg, MB, Canada

High Stakes Shark

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July 12, 2013

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March 29, 2014 - 2:17 am

So this hand is getting deep in the tournie 1200 or so entrants 200ish left.

Villain stats – 54/29/0 …So just a spewtard.

I check the flop thinking he's gonna shell pretty often and I can make a pretty simple call there. I don't think he checks flush draws, however I do have a note that he checked a flopped J top pair w no kicker twice and called a river bet.

The turn I think checking is a mistake.

The river we make the straight and I think he's raising a straight, or is he..?? Hmmm.. His raise size is so big I'm not sure that he wouldn't double check A10… Confusion… Still not sure if I should call or fold. Thoughts?

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t1000/t2000 Blinds + t250 – 9 players – View hand 2462799
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

MP2: BB = 12.1, t24169
Hero (CO): BB = 64.1, t128123
BTN: BB = 64.4, t128794
SB: BB = 16.7, t33365
BB: BB = 72.2, t144418
UTG: BB = 39.9, t79835
UTG+1: BB = 5.9, t11703
UTG+2: BB = 33.2, t66412
MP1: BB = 27.3, t54561

Pre Flop: (t5250) Hero is CO with J of diamonds T
5 folds, Hero raises to t4199, BTN calls t4199, 2 folds

Flop: (t13648) J of spades 5 of hearts K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (t13648) 9 of clubs (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (t13648) Q of spades (2 players)
Hero bets t6299, BTN raises to t32000, Hero ??

CCuster 911

Delaware

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Forum Posts: 187

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September 28, 2012

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April 14, 2014 - 11:56 pm

iF you read is spewtard, do we really expect somone like that to check two streets IP iwth a FD?

But then the problem is do we expect that eprson to raise a T on the river on a three flush board. Meh, probably not all that often.

So I think we are going to see a fairly high bluff range here.

Problem is, we dont have great odds. So he really needs to be bluffing a lot. We need to be right about 33% of the time here, which I think we may just have. It is really hard to tell without concrete reads. This is one of those spots where I always wish I had not been multitabling and had more specific HHs involving the villain.

I dont think calling or folding is a huge msitake either way. I think my gut says fold. Especially if the 54/29 is not over a decent sample.

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