TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
You could profitably open shove 66+, ATs+, A3s-A5s, AQo+, KTs+, QTs+, so you shouldn’t be open folding any of those. Of course someone of them might be more profitably played as smaller raises, which enables you to have a small raise-folding range as well (probably drawing from AJo and KQo). But folding 33 is fine/good. It’s got no blocker value and has a hard time realizing equity post-flop when it doesn’t make a set.
December 30, 2015
I fold but it is an interesting spot with short stacks in LP and BIG stacks in the blinds. Our UTG open may work like a squeeze….and I kind of like it after thinking it through. Reads would help. I think this is majorly game-flow-dependent.
BUT….I think if we open we have to fold to any raise. If it folds to the CO/BTN who shoves 10BBs and everyone folds I’d have to weight the range much higher considering the shove over our UTG open and the size of the stacks in the blinds, so I think I fold rather than race for 1/2 my stack. The math is probably close…?
Ideal situation is to see it fold around to the blinds, get a call from both, and then set-mine. Taking a step back, this whole situation becomes pretty thin…opening hoping for the chance to hit a set. I think the implied odds need to be even higher adding in the risk of needing to fold so often PF?
So I think with 25+ BBs I like this spot if the table feels right for it, but at 20 I think I prefer to preserve my stack for better spots, considering I’m about to go through the blinds and I don’t know when the current level ends
Thoughts?
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