May 19, 2016
What was our read on V?
Seems to me the flop hit his range, on the other hand to him it also hit our range:
- early in the tournament, low blinds
- V range about: 45%
- BTN range about the same as V: 45%
- Pre flop equity: hero: 58% V: 21% BTN:20%
- Flop V gains control of position
- Equity on flop: Hero: 69% V:30%
- to make a long story short on Equity, Hero has the best equity throughout hand and goes to >70%.
on the Flop Hero checks, Why? The board is a rainbow, and we have over cards to the board, all good for us
A nice 3-bet or shove would be good here. (prefer a 3 bet, or maybe a 4-bet since V raise Pre)
Things good for Hero:
- Pre-flop a raise with a re-raise (got people out that may have suck out on us with an A8 or 8xs)
- Even though we are out of position we have a very strong hand
- As the BB our range is as wide or wider than V, V knows this
- Hero has a bigger chip stack than V
- No flush draws, no over-cards
- Only AA, KK, 3/4, or 8x beats us by river
- All this adds up to a sizable bet on the flop, which may take it down right there, maybe not.
We’ll lose from time to time, that does happen
Once again if anybody sees anything wrong with my reasoning please speak up so we can all benefit.
Regards,
December 30, 2015
Pre-flop, as soon as the 3-bet gets a flat-call (flat looks like ATs-AQo, KQs or 44-TT), I 4-bet to ~825. If we get called I’m discounting AA and KK and reducing the flatter to set-mining. The rest are in a pretty tight range of pocket pairs + A and K heavy, so any overs and I’m just set mining with my QQ. Any other flop and I’m holding the betting lead with an eye out for sets.
Since there are no stacks at risk (everyone is deep) I think I’m folding to a 5-bet. I play at these stakes and I never see a 5-bet bluff so I’m thinking it is AK, AA or KK. I suppose we can call and see the flop, and if no overs, float once and reevaluate, but that could be quite expensive. Of course we could hit a Q against KK or AA and score ~130BB…
May 19, 2016
Woo Hoo finally get feed back! Second time first by you, Thank you Almofadinhas!
I don’t have people to talk to about poker till now, so I may say things that make people say: huh. This is the reason I joined this site, and the reason I comment on posts in hopes somebody will point out my leaks and short comings so I can become a better player….My goal!
I have one friend that’s good enough to talk to but our schedules clash and he’s a cash game more than tournament player.
On to the subject!
Putting the 2 V’s on 45% was pre-flop, which is my default for unknowns in those positions. I didn’t feel the persons betting was being over zealous, so didn’t put anybody on AA, KK and obviously not QQ@
Believe MP1 that folded pre-flop was kicking himself in butt for folding by the river, don’t know why just do.
On flop I put MP3 with his 2/3 pot bet on 77+, Axs poss. A7s,A9s,A6s, 98s,J9s,K9s, K9o, however unlikely,(because of pre-flop action by this player) but not out of the realm 67s, 45s, 95s, 96s, 97s, lots of draws, lots of 2nd best
Pre-flop with such a strong hand I believe a re-raise squeeze is in order because:
- its early in tournament lots o fish
- want to take pot down so as not to be sucked out on, or single out a player
- if re-raised after our re-raise we can fold, still have plenty of chips to play and have some info on V, but not a lot because we folded.
the Pre-flop raise “good for V and us” even though we didn’t make the raise it got people out that could have sucked out on us. However I meant the squeeze play. A squeeze would have gotten us heads up, even though we didn’t know that at the time but is the most common occurrence. I have made this play with QQ in similar situations many times. Most offen we take the pot PRE, if not a Nice 2/3 on flop takes down the pot, other times fishy V goes to showdown, All these instances make up for the few times I’m beat, worth it.
Now if we do a squeeze and V shoves, time to reconsider
If we Bet the Flop after a squeeze and get raised… time to reconsider, but not as much as if he shoves after squeeze on Pre.
Btn protected Position till flop and then caved when pressure was applied. (good info)
December 30, 2015
I see what you mean but I think a 4-bet makes it easier to play because it narrows ranges. The rest I tried to condense a bunch of possibilities in to just a few words. Scenarios I see are, we 4-bet and….
recap: “MP1 raises to 100…MP3 raises to 300…BTN calls 300…Hero [BB] calls 250…MP1 Folds“
1. MP1/MP3 5-bets…. I fold. If V 5-bets with AK, putting 100BB in play, so early, then I think I am ok giving up rather than flipping considering there are also a lot of KK and AA in V’s range as well.
2. MP1/MP3/BTN flats – I doubt we get all three flatting, but regardless, if MP1 flats and no one 5-bets then I feel we are ahead going to the flop. In my original post I mention reducing ranges to AK/AQ and lower pockets set-mining. but more specifically I think the first caller is likely to be more like ~TT-JJ, AQ+ and additional flatters have more lower pairs and less AQ.
I think there is still enough room in the stack sizes to possibly detect a set, but it depends on the number of callers and how the flop action goes. On this flop, and now that we have the betting lead and a lower SPR, if V donk bets or c/r then I can’t see doing anything other then getting it all in. It is easier for V to have 88, TT or JJ than a set (statistically) and with a 4-bet there are far less suited connector type hands to hit 2-pair, right?…
…and that is kinda my point. As played there are far more hands that hit the flop than would in a 4-bet pot. 97s, 8Ts, 9Ts, 67s, maybe 66, 77 and perhaps even 99 may fold to the 4-bet PF. Some small amount of KK may still be in V’s range but almost no AA unless I have a read on a player as exceptionally passive.
…Sounds reasonable?
May 19, 2016
at home, good to be your own boss, not really but owner of shop I work at is very supportive. So supportive he pitched in 1/3 of a buy in once, as well as my coworker so I could play in a tournament. Great guys!
As I was saying before that last big sale, wait a minute pizza’s done. Dang Pizza.
Anyway….wait a minute need a beer, dang beer.
Okay I’m set.
Are you saying a 4 bet pre-flop or post flop?
I believe you’re saying pre,
You said:
1. MP1/MP3 5-bets…. I fold. If V 5-bets with AK, putting 100BB in play, so early, then I think I am ok giving up rather than flipping considering there are also a lot of KK and AA in V’s range as well.
I’m a live player, but it seems that in a $4.50 tournament early in a game wouldn’t it be better to flip? I don’t play in any games in my local casino except for a $120 buy in(re), 10K GTD on Fridays at noon. Then I only play once every other month as I save my money for the WSOP at the Palm Beach Kennel club at the beginning of the year, and SHRPO in Hollywood Seminole Hard Rock. In the $120 I’ll chose to do a flip with QQ in the beginning. But I have to know the player and be sure it’s a flip before I call. Admittedly I do poorly in any tournament under 1000 in the field, and the $120 only brings in about 220 during season.
If that is wrong, and is a leak let me know so I can stop doing fishy things.
Isn’t MP3 bet on Pre-flop considered a 3 bet to MP1’s 2 bet? So to 4 bet MP3’s 3 bet would it not be 1200?
Or am I misunderstanding the whole thing?
I thoroughly agree with what you said in #2 in your re-post. If everybody flats more than likely your ahead of everybody’s hand range.
You said:
I think there is still enough room in the stack sizes to possibly detect a set, but it depends on the number of callers and how the flop action goes. On this flop, and now that we have the betting lead and a lower SPR, if V donk bets or c/r then I can’t see doing anything other then getting it all in. It is easier for V to have 88, TT or JJ than a set (statistically) and with a 4-bet there are far less suited connector type hands to hit 2-pair, right?…
As far as detecting a set, depends on the player. These guys are unknown, I play my sets differently at different times and depends on the board coordination and all other players hand ranges that are in the hand.
Agreed on the later part of your statement as i said earlier:
however unlikely,(because of pre-flop action by this player) but not out of the realm 67s, 45s, 95s, 96s, 97s
I once had pocket A’s and 5 bet a 2 bet raise by a MP. it was mid tournament, The BB called, MP folded. The flop came out and i was not worried as the flop was A, 2, 4 and I 5 bet the Pre-flop. The BB was a known good player, He came out betting the flop and I shoved. This good player flipped over 3, 5 , the board didn’t pair I was bubble boy. later I found out it was his favorite hand.
Yes it sounds Reasonable, but not everybody is…reasonable!
It will be few that did what happened to me and we’ll win more in situations like this than loose.
Out of the same reasons cat’s die what happened?
Regards,
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