Oh wow, no, you should definitely critique man! Someone called me a wizard today. Now there’s a word that gets thrown around too liberally. lol no. Not even close. I want to be a wizard, but alas I’m a man. A nerdy, scrawny man with very little overall understanding of poker.

Doug and I keep talking about this hand outside of the forum, but i’ll bring it in. Some quick thoughts to jot down before I have to leave work-

On raise sizing, I think minraising should be fine and still profitable as a steal all on its own because of the discount we have from the sb. Raising to 2x risks 1.5 to win 3.8, needing a 39.47% success rate to break even. I don’t think this player will defend 60% of hands, so I can raise 100% of the time here. Raising to 2.5x risks 2 to win 4.3, needing a 46.51% success rate to break even. The 7% difference in defend rates necessary by the bb probably makes a good difference. I wouldn’t necessarily open 100% here, because I don’t want him to freak out about not seeing flops and start playing back, but if I got like 3 for 3 spots through or I witnessed him fold his bb 5 for 5 overall, I’d probably raise 100% and scatter in walks somehow.

on the flop cbet, I definitely would be bet/folding the flop normally, and probably too much (to the point that he’s exploiting me even without realizing it) I felt that given game flow, he was bending a bit and was going to try to raise over wide and with a very weak range. I wouldn’t do this every time. Overall, I think even though there’s a flush draw and the low straight draw, it’s a pretty dry flop considering its a sb open and a bb defend. Both of our ranges are still wide here. I simply took my backdoors+overs and his weak range to mean shippit.

After talking with Doug, I like the 3b to 9-10bb instead and ship. I don’t think his ranges change much (so maybe I giving up unless I backdoor) between 3betting 9-10bb and 3betting to 26 and all in.
gotta get going, thanks for the discussion guys!