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This is a 180 players SnG. Money to top 18. We are 20 left.
SB is very tight and has not been seen out of line.
BB has made some strange moves. Pushing 25 BB from UTG. Calling over half is stack with 56s to a MP push.
We have ~11 BB. What is our pushing range in this spot.
Full Tilt – $2+$0.25|200/400 NL – Holdem – 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: …..racker.com
UTG+1: 20,975.00
MP: 8,254.00
CO: 3,715.00
Hero (BTN): 4,632.00
SB: 6,680.00
BB: 6,258.00
UTG: 25,630.00
UTG+1 posts ante 50.00, MP posts ante 50.00, CO posts ante 50.00, Hero posts ante 50.00, SB posts ante 50.00, BB posts ante 50.00, UTG posts ante 50.00, SB posts SB 200.00, BB posts BB 400.00
Pre Flop: (950.00)
Hero has ??
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero ??
22+ Ax+ K2s+ K9o+ Q5s+ Q9o+ J7s+ J9o+ T6s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 75s+ 65s 54
^shoving range from button(from a shove sheet) with your stack but I would tighten this up givin your info on the bb:
22+ Ax+ K2s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s
^would change it to something like this but I could be a lil off.
October 6, 2010
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Does it really matter bubble or not? Doesn't bubble just give us better implied fold equity?
I pushed Q10. And got called by BB's AK. Was not sure if I was too loose. But I can see that is was a standard push.
Thanks
Remember you are not shoving the strength of your hand here. Vs. villans calling range you are about ~36% equity. With your stk and 950 chips in pot pre-flop you only need villan to fold 50% of the time for this shove to be profitable. Without question villan is folding way more than 50% of the time. Now it doesn't even mean you made a mistake after villan calls with AK. You still have ~36% equity AK vs. QT so don't beat yourself up.
The times he folds you win, the times he calls and you suck out he wins, minus the times you win (36%of the time), minus the times he calls and you lose = +EV play.
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