November 3, 2014
The Big $11 Pokerstars
Hold’em No Limit – Level XXXII (3600/7200)
84 players left (Paid 990)
Table ‘1154976266 262’ 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: Dudslila (48256 in chips)
Seat 3: jannemanema (325448 in chips)
Seat 4: Lagazzi (356008 in chips)
Seat 5: Gru88y (314660 in chips)
Seat 6: (Hero) TommyCrown (167127 in chips)
Seat 7: aleks5050 (53468 in chips)
Seat 8: tucano2 (103173 in chips)
Seat 9: zizoulechef (91089 in chips)
MAIN ACTION
CO jannemanema (45BB): raises 8640 to 15840
BTN Lagazzi : folds
SB Gru88y (44BB): calls 12240
BB TommyCrown (23BB) [2d As]
CO Stats
67 hands: 21/19 (PFR 43% from CO, 38% BTN), 3B 7.7, Fold to 3bet 100% (2 for 2)
Has been quite active
SB Stats
82 hands: 27/11, 3B 9.5%, Fold to 3 bet (no examples), Cold Call 21%
Has been open raising x5 a few times but no showdown
Hero Stats
I don’t have exact stats (HM is cumulative) but at time I was running about 15/13, 3B 5-6% (is this tight?). I have been running about 35-50bb most of the tournament but in last circuit lost a small pot to short stack and blinds went up so that now have 23bb for first time. I have not had a notable pot with these players.
When I look at the players a squeeze seems optimal. The CO is aggressive in late position and folding to 3 bets, the SB leans more towards calling unless he has a hand to overbet. Additionally, the SB has a stack size that should worry the CO if he hasn’t got a premium hand.
On my side I have a decent stack that should make them think, I haven’t played a hand in 15, plus I have the A blocker for what it’s worth (every time I seem to use that logic there’s a better A in opponents hand).
It was 1am (been playing since midday, this tourney nearly 6 hours) and I would guess there is still 2-3 hours before final table so am concerned a little tiredness may have affected my decision one way or the other.
The question I have is do I have time to wait for better spots (10mins blinds, 22BB left after fold) or is this such a prime squeeze opportunity that needs to be taken to push for the win?
Many thanks
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