August 10, 2014
$20 Bovada mtt.
Realize I should probably have checked the turn.
Inclination was to fold the river, but on second thought find villain’s line pretty odd.
Actually think folding the river may be a pretty big mistake? If I have a bluff catching range, this is the best candidate I could really have with high showdown value and the blocker.
Also wonder if villain could ever value bet worse and I’m being silly.
I’m working my way through many theory videos on here in an attempt to shore up the fundamentals, and realize those will help with spots like these.
PokerStars – $20+$2|10/20 NL – Holdem – 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 4,930 (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
BTN: 4,907 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 4,910 (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 4,930 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
Hero (UTG): 4,970
UTG+1: 5,280 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP: 4,910 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP+1: 4,950 (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB posts SB 10, BB posts BB 20
Pre Flop: (pot: 30) Hero has A A
Hero raises to 60, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 60, fold, fold
Flop: (150, 2 players) T 3 5
Hero bets 111, BTN calls 111
Turn: (372, 2 players) K
Hero bets 222, BTN raises to 559, Hero calls 337
River: (1,490, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, BTN bets 805,
April 30, 2015
Villain’s raise on the turn makes me think he doesn’t have a 2 pair or a set. If he has a set, we might have heard from him on the flop. If he has KK, he 3-bets preflop. KT is a possibility, but he might not raise the turn with that if he didn’t raise the flop. If he flopped a flush and raised the turn for value, I am sure you are 100% correct to call with nut draw. Slightly more than 1/2 pot bet on the river… I am calling here as we are very deep and we beat all his non-flushy hands. Now waiting for getting shot at by Andrew
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
This is a nasty spot on the river mostly because you should have checked an earlier street. I agree with Snowie about doing it on the flop.
As played, I don’t think you’re as high up in your range as you think. Flushes are the most obvious hands to put into your calling range, and the risk of Villain showing up with value bets from non-flushes makes AA somewhat less appealing. I don’t agree that AK/KQ would play this way, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see sets or two-pair. The longer Villain tanked on river, the less inclined I’d be to call, as in this case I’d expect that to be him working out whether to value bet a non-flush.
It might be slightly exploitable but at this point I’d just fold, I expect you won’t see a lot of bluffs here. But really just check flop. You’ll have plenty of Ac in your betting range – it’s nice to get some into your checking range.
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