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Never folding here right?
m@ddm@n
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May 15, 2012 - 9:35 am
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Villian 33/13 over enough hands and big fish.  I'm raising pre here for value as i've got his range crushed from what he's been playing (even though oop.) 

Bearing in mind he has no idea, I'm putting him on a 9 at best here (maybe 89 or A9) and figured if he has that then whatever.  I pretty much discounted a boat here as his range is so wide and he likes to trap.  Vs this player and his previous history of shoving any mid pair etc I'm never folding here right?

Cassava Poker $11 + $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t100/t200 Blinds – 8 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): t9230 46.15 BBs
sonicseven (UTG): t5195 25.98 BBs
nonconformin (UTG+1): t4048 20.24 BBs
fish_club (MP1): t11881 59.41 BBs
bigwinFred (MP2): t7154 35.77 BBs
kingo3434 (CO): t16678 83.39 BBs
rayben10 (BTN): t4537 22.68 BBs
bestdec09 (SB): t17502 87.51 BBs

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is BB with Q of clubs K of clubs
sonicseven calls t200, 5 folds, bestdec09 calls t100, Hero raises to t625, sonicseven calls t425, 1 fold

Flop: (t1450) T of clubs K of spades 9 of spades (2 players)
Hero bets t525, sonicseven calls t525

Turn: (t2500) 9 of clubs (2 players)
Hero bets t825, sonicseven raises to t4025, Hero calls t3200

River: (t10550) 7 of spades (2 players)

Final Pot: t10550
Hero shows Q of clubs K of clubs
sonicseven shows 8 of spades 5 of spades
sonicseven wins t10710
(Rake: t-160)

ownednutz
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May 15, 2012 - 12:03 pm
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Well i do like the play and the thinking process u make pre flop, u indeed have him crushed.

 

I just dont like the size of ur bet, 525 on a 1450 pot against this fish, u're just missing value, and giving him a good price to hit his draw.

 

I would bet against this guy something like 865-895, and if he calls the pot would be

3180. And if the turn comes a blank and u think he totally missed everything, or u still can get a call from worse hands, bet for value again, i would bet something like 1665-1785, i dont think he would just calls, i think he would jams the turn anyway, but if he folds, u build yourself a 3180 pot.

On the turn u bet small also, sure u give him the thinking that he have some fold EQ and he shoves hes draw, which is as good as we can hope for since he is drawing very thin.

This is a scenario that u cant expect to happen very often and u need to extract as most value as u can.

U played the hand pretty good and just got unlucky on the river, just need to work on the value of the bet size i think.

shawnivey
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May 15, 2012 - 3:39 pm
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god i must be the biggest nit on this site, i just dont get why we are 3 bettign KQ here pre…sure it is ahead of his range but we are folding out most the hands we dominate with a raise (K9, KT, Q9, QT, QJ), and we are also inflating a pot we then have to play OOP vs a fishy oppenent who we arnt going to ever want to fold against.

 

As played i personally think your bet sizing is fine, i may bet slightly bigger on turn, like 1025 or 1005 jus because the number looks so much bigger than 825 but you are still betting under half pot

duggs
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May 15, 2012 - 4:27 pm
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pretty sure its two limpers and he iso's which is very correct against there capped ranges and inability play post flop.

 

regarding hand, if you are bet/calling (inducing) then its fine, otherwise def increase your sizing on turn to get stack ins on river

shawnivey
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May 15, 2012 - 6:44 pm
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ok i dont know how to read it is 2 limper….this raise just got WORSE imo

 

utg is never limp folding to this tiny bet, wed have to blast and really blow the pot up and hes still prob not folding. (as proven by 85)

 

just because we have good hands doesnt mean we have to be raising every single time because you saw it on a video, think about the situation before you just go and assume you have to raise, i just check here and pot control oop….playing big pots oop with hands like KQ is how you are going to lose all your chips

 

i hate making a bigger turn bet as we can never bet fold this way, and we are commiting ourself to a meh 2 pair type hand in this spot regardless of river

duggs
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May 15, 2012 - 6:51 pm
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raising for value is fine, vbetting flop if fine, ( no idea how you think raising for value against this opponent is bad since he never folds)

bet/folding turn is the part i really really dont get. We have TPGK, a gutter, and K high fd, folding that much equity given the pot odds would be an error.

tbh i kind of like the inducing turn bet sizing as is, but we want a 2/3-3/4 pot sized bet left on river to entice him to call

shawnivey
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May 15, 2012 - 7:30 pm
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duggs said:

raising for value is fine, vbetting flop if fine, ( no idea how you think raising for value against this opponent is bad since he never folds)

 

this is why we arnt 3 betting pre, if he has a 0 fold to 3 bet % we are going to be playing blown up pots OOP without narrowing his range down at all, when you raise you want it to accomplish something, raising here accomplishes nothing but making a bigger pot

bennymacca
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May 15, 2012 - 8:37 pm
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shawn, do you agree that unless the player is tricky (unlikely) that he has a capped range UTG? I very much doubt this is AQ ever, it might be KK or AA sometimes but unlikely as fish will limp re-raise these but not limp-call. it is also unlikely to be TT-QQ either, i think vilain's range is very much weighted to mid pocket pairs, broadways we dominate and connectors.

 

you are also a little inconsistent with your reasoning – in your first post you say we will fold out everything we beat and then you say we will be bloating the pot. imo bloating the pot is completely fine here because i dont see us ever being behind, and fishes certainly flat our raise with QT here and stack off on a Q flop. that is reasoning enough.

 

you say raising accomplishes nothing but playing a bigger pot – thats GREAT! we are playing against a fishy villain that has basically no dominating hands in his range, even though we are OOP i still think it is insanely profitable to raise for value here. KT and K9 are definitely a part of villain's range still but there certainly other hands we crush too.

shawnivey
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May 15, 2012 - 9:00 pm
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bennymacca said:

shawn, do you agree that unless the player is tricky (unlikely) that he has a capped range UTG? I very much doubt this is AQ ever, it might be KK or AA sometimes but unlikely as fish will limp re-raise these but not limp-call. it is also unlikely to be TT-QQ either, i think vilain's range is very much weighted to mid pocket pairs, broadways we dominate and connectors.

 

you are also a little inconsistent with your reasoning – in your first post you say we will fold out everything we beat and then you say we will be bloating the pot. imo bloating the pot is completely fine here because i dont see us ever being behind, and fishes certainly flat our raise with QT here and stack off on a Q flop. that is reasoning enough.

 

you say raising accomplishes nothing but playing a bigger pot – thats GREAT! we are playing against a fishy villain that has basically no dominating hands in his range, even though we are OOP i still think it is insanely profitable to raise for value here. KT and K9 are definitely a part of villain's range still but there certainly other hands we crush too.

yes i agree his range is pretty capped, and i am not inconsistant i give more than 1….while i agree playing bigger pots vs fish is awesome i think it is pretty bad to try and play a big pot oop when you have KQ… you say he will stack off Q high flops, r we stackin on a QT8 flop vs said villian? what kinda Q high flops do YOU really like stacking here vs an utg limp/call preflop?

bennymacca
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May 15, 2012 - 9:59 pm
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QT8 i think i am stacking off here pretty often vs villain, as they wont ever fold QJ or JT or KJ.

 

a lot of fishes that limp pre arent going to put pressure on us postflop either imo, so i think even though we are OOP it is somewhat mitigated by the fact that villain isnt ever going to barrel their draws or even weak top pairs, so we can definitely take pot control lines as well if we feel like it.

m@ddm@n
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May 16, 2012 - 12:04 pm
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Thanks all,

Thought I'd played it ok but wasn't certain.  Obviously I'm never checking KQs pre here vs this fish and my raise was for value (and to fold out the other limper to iso.)  Sounds like it was a correct call and cheers for the advice 😛

OkieNGa
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May 17, 2012 - 11:37 am
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Actually, I believe if you are going to play this hand you should be raising much more than you did.  I would raise somewhere between 950-1000 (3xBB+1BB for being out of position+1BB for the overcall).  This will polarize the villans range and get him to fold these types of holdings and even get him to drop PPs less than 6s, if he understands the game, the odds just aren't there.  If you do not want to raise this much, then check it pre flop. 

 

Reason, by raising just 2 more BBs like you did, your opponent is getting 2.5:1 on his call.  If he puts you on 2 broadway cards (without J10 and Q10), which I would, he is easily getting the right price to call (see below).  In addition, given his stack size you send a message, are you ready to play for your stack, cuz I am…….even if you are not.

 

Per Poker Stove:

 

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 33.847% 33.58% 00.27% 77050462 612041.00 { 8s5s }

Hand 1: 66.153% 65.89% 00.27% 151174192 612041.00 { TT+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }

 

Same for the rest of the pot, your bet on the turn looks like air or the nutz……..  If I am him, and I see I have a fl draw and your line is this weak, when the 9 falls on the turn I would jam and expect to get you to fold 75% of the time and if you call I have outs. 

m@ddm@n
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May 17, 2012 - 12:25 pm
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Valid points Okie however as stated, this fish doesn’t understand the game & clearly has no clue about odds, hand ranges or anything else poker related (from prev history etc.) I’m raising for value/iso here and aren’t playing this hand as I would vs any thinking player. Context is the key here vs this player. I’m happy with bennymaccas summary as it pretty much sums it up:)

OkieNGa
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May 17, 2012 - 1:25 pm
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ISO? I do not think 425 raise into this pot is much of an ISO. 

 

In addition to my previous post I would like to add something.  If you are going to call his ship, why not JAM instead of call?  Calling an all in for 20BBs with TP decent kicker is not profitable over time on a coordinated board like this, fish or not.

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