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Missing Squeeze Spot

bitdash

Lighting Money On Fire

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August 14, 2015 - 4:29 am

30+ left, already in the money.  but prize jump is not significant until last 18.

so I shall consider chip EV at this moment.

No special read, but BTN is a bit fishy and play more pots than he/she should with limping.

min raise and a call from SB, it seems to very profitable to squeeze all-in here with A2o.

which I folded too fast, and realized that I might have missed a golden opportunity.  Tag this hand for review later.

🙂

$3.55+$0.45|1400/2800 Ante 350 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 34.35 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 30.77, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
CO: 23.84 BB (VPIP: 19.08, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 10.34, Hands: 154)
BTN: 48.46 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
SB: 17.41 BB (VPIP: 16.13, PFR: 3.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)
Hero (BB): 14 BB
UTG: 55.65 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 13.95, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 45)
UTG+1: 47.88 BB (VPIP: 7.69, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
MP: 22.23 BB (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 66.67, Hands: 13)

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has  2 A 

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, [color=red]BTN raises to 2 BB[/color], SB calls 1.5 BB, fold

bitdash

Lighting Money On Fire

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Forum Posts: 26

Member Since:
July 22, 2015

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August 14, 2015 - 4:49 am

Using ICMizer to check on this. You can see the result here …..izer/#NBsj

I assign the following range to BTN and SB.

BTN min raise range

22+,A2+,K6s+,K9o+,Q8s+,QTo+,J8s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,64s+,54s (33.33%)
SB call min raise range
99-44,AQs-A9s,AQo-ATo,K9s+,KTo+,Q9s+,QTo+,J9s+,JTo,T8s+,97s+,87s,76s,65s,54s  (17.19%)

My optimal squeeze range should be only

(24.1%) 33+,A2s+,A7o+,K7s+,KTo+,Q9s+,QTo+,J9s+,T8s+,98s

But I think something wrong with the result, because I see BTN is going to call my all-in with 33% of the hands means he is calling 100% here? so it is optimal for BTN to call my squeeze all-in with all hands he opened with?

SB overcall is 5.4%

But since in real life, no one play optimally, I think I should squeeze A2o here, as my image was ok not aggressive.

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