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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy middle pair nut flush draw fold or …

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middle pair nut flush draw fold or all?

hapetimes

Guest

Guests

June 12, 2011 - 10:38 pm

Poker Stars $150+$12 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t75/t150 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

BERSKI 80 (UTG+2): t2425 16.17 BBs
el_mani79 (MP1): t7318 48.79 BBs
Hero (MP2): t9350 62.33 BBs
scottypeel (CO): t2445 16.30 BBs
lauraram (BTN): t3600 24 BBs
darrel60 (SB): t3805 25.37 BBs
MD2F (BB): t4574 30.49 BBs
flewPT (UTG): t6804 45.36 BBs
ChristopheM (UTG+1): t7136 47.57 BBs

Pre Flop: (t225) Hero is MP2 with 6 of diamonds A
4 folds, Hero raises to t345, 2 folds, darrel60 calls t270, 1 fold

Flop: (t840) 4 of diamonds 6 of clubs Q (2 players)
darrel60 bets t3460 all in,

Villain has been at table for 5 hands

call or fold here?

hawkeyeK9

Guest

Guests

June 12, 2011 - 11:37 pm

Calling for sure. You are very very deep here and the risk is for less than half your stack. There is a great chance your ace is live also. Definitely think this is a +EV call.

G0liath

Guest

Guests

June 13, 2011 - 12:37 am

I call, there’s great chance you have 14 outs.

I can’t even imagine what he has. 77-TT maybe?

Killingbird

Cary, NC

TPE Management

Forum Posts: 4582

Member Since:
April 6, 2010

Offline

June 13, 2011 - 2:48 am

agreed with above, I think we have enough outs here to call every single time.

isaacjames

Guest

Guests

June 13, 2011 - 12:05 pm

Call it. i do see trips other draws and 2 pairs in his range as well.

McLucky

Guest

Guests

June 13, 2011 - 12:12 pm

Call, get there, stack chips, make note, keep firing.

HelpMeIWentBroke

Guest

Guests

June 13, 2011 - 3:56 pm

You should probably call here. You have a pair, an over, and the nut flush draw. Villain overbet all-in, which makes me think he's just protecting with top pair. I don't think he would be doing this with a set, but we don't know anything about the player, right? Depending on the type of player, he could be doing this with a worse flush draw as well.

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