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Villian has been active…Thought about stop and go here, stuffing, 3 bet call a jam… I felt like click back and fold is horrible (not even a thought unless we had deeper stacks I can get away I guess) and flatting is almost never gonna happen here , I really didn't want to play this hand OOP and this just seemed like an awkward spot here. My hand is not a monster ofcourse but felt like I am gonna be ahead of his opening range a very high % of the time and I still have some FE here on a stuff..
Just looking for some feedback
t2000.00/t4000.00 Blinds + t400.00 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
NewtFloosh (UTG+2): BB = 11.8, t47356
ShoveFold207 (MP1): BB = 13.4, t53568
Mawltlicky (MP2): BB = 3.7, t14642
MrAngerManagement (CO): BB = 21.2, t84946
SickDegen (BTN): BB = 13.6, t54591
PierreDerriere (SB): BB = 19.3, t77120
Hero (BB): BB = 15.8, t63021
AAAAALLIN (UTG): BB = 7.1, t28305
MyBallsOnYourChin (UTG+1): BB = 8.2, t32623
Pre Flop: (t9600) Hero is BB with A
J
5 folds, MrAngerManagement raises to t8000.00, 2 folds, Hero????
October 6, 2010
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not sure if this is a leak, but i would just jam here. i feel like co vs bb, co might even call with AT or A9 depending on how light they think we could jam.
TPE Pro
August 3, 2011
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If he has been active it is 100% a shove here. You don't want to 3bet/call because you want to take away some of his 4bet jam range by shoving instead of calling his 4bet and flipping or taking a 60/40 against him. You have 2 options here. Shove or fold. And I am shoving this all day. You do have fold equity from your stack. Also he could be taking his last steal spot here to keep that in mind. (could def be light)
July 3, 2010
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Pretty easy jam spot. I know this player and he opens almost every time from CO and Button when it folds around to him.
Well Fist Pump STUFF I did!! Seems like only play here, he probably broke his mouse snapping me and tabled TT and held up… I was completely fine with this and we were 20 spots from the money and bubbling has never been a concern for me only goal is to be in contention to win! Doubling my stack at this point puts me at 40 bigs and shot at a deep run!
October 6, 2010
Offline
Yeah just win the flip next time, ez game
These spots are really easy to solve mathematically and you should get into the habit of solving these for yourself. First lets find the break even fold frequency. Let x represent the frequency of folds. So to break even we require
0= EV(JAM) = x(4.4bb) + (1-x)[e(17.1)-(1-e)(14.7bb)] where e= equity of AJs vs calling range
Transposing the above we get x(e) = (14.7-31.8e)/(19.1-31.8e)
Now stoving a raise/calling range I assumed he is calling A9s+, ATo+, 77+, KQs and against this range our equity=e is 44%, this means x(.44) = 13.9%. He only needs to fold 13.9% of his opening range for it to be profitable, so this corresponds to a total opening range of 10.5%. So in future if you see his HEM stat in this particular spot to be > 10.5% you know it is a profitable jam.
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