January 27, 2013
Hey guys, new to posting hands. Tried to use the replayer but it could not read the data. Here's a recap.
This is the Merge $33 nightly.
Blinds 250 /125
Villian is UTG+1, sholves with 14 BB (I have 500 hands on villian. Has rasied 14% from e.p. )
Hero is UTG +2, cards are 88, I have 33BB.
Two big stacks are left to act. They have shown a lot of gamble in previous All-in's.
Based on the 14% PFR this becomes an equity flip. If I were later to act I would snap sholve.
Fold or Sholve?
Thanks for the feedback.
August 21, 2012
22+ A9s+ A5s AJo+ K9s+ KQo QTs+ JTs T9s. That is the optimal +cEV shoving range according to my push/fold chart.
We have some pretty good equity against that range. I imagine villain to be a little tighter than that and prolly folds certain hands like J10s, 910s, K9s, K10s, maybe even KJs depending on the villain. 22, 33 might fold too. I'm curious (aside from the stats) how we perceive villain and how he's acted in the past few orbits.These structures are pretty good so I can see passing up some hands in that optimal range and waiting for a better spot.
Given our early position it really sucks when someone wakes up with a hand. Its a tough spot. I think we are ahead of villains range but I might lean towards folding here because so many people have to act behind. 99 i think is the point where I shove. 88 is borderline. In game, I think I'm folding as I think we can find a better spot and its not worth taking the risk to our tourament life the times someone wakes up behind.
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
Chuck Blaze said:
22+ A9s+ A5s AJo+ K9s+ KQo QTs+ JTs T9s. That is the optimal +cEV shoving range according to my push/fold chart.
We have some pretty good equity against that range. I imagine villain to be a little tighter than that and prolly folds certain hands like J10s, 910s, K9s, K10s, maybe even KJs depending on the villain. 22, 33 might fold too. I'm curious (aside from the stats) how we perceive villain and how he's acted in the past few orbits.These structures are pretty good so I can see passing up some hands in that optimal range and waiting for a better spot.
Given our early position it really sucks when someone wakes up with a hand. Its a tough spot. I think we are ahead of villains range but I might lean towards folding here because so many people have to act behind. 99 i think is the point where I shove. 88 is borderline. In game, I think I'm folding as I think we can find a better spot and its not worth taking the risk to our tourament life the times someone wakes up behind.
Your push/fold chart is terrible. Shoving hands like K9s or A5s for 14bb UTG+1 is most likely really bad.
Having said that, I think you're more or less correct that 88 or 99 is more or less the cutoff here for what we can get in. I think I would go with 88 and AQ+, but I don't hate folding here either.
August 21, 2012
I may need to look into the chart I have. I'm never shoving that range from that position either but from what I've been told those are +cEV ranges you can shove and show a profit against a optimal calling range. simplely put, math wise you can do it.
obviously you have to take that and factor in numerous other elements and factors, so I'm not ever really shoving that range in practice. i like to use it as a guide and basepoint to look at ranges from and its helped.
now if that is math wise really wrong or off base i'd like to know.
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