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July 24, 2018
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Day 2 of Main. One hand of history with Main Villain. I had just moved to table, and he has a mountain of chips, including most of the small denomination chips, so I assume he is quite active. He raises, one other raiser, and I squeeze JJ from the SB. He gives it a long look and folds.
On to the main hand. We have been at this table about 1.5 hours, and V has been opening a lot of pots. Hasn’t been too crazy after the flop though. He opens 2500 (At 1200BB) , tight player flats, one more flat, and I have A5ss on the button. I squeeze to 12,500 V and tight player both call.
43K in the pot, I have 39K behind. Flop is Jh4h3s, giving me a gutter, overcard and BDFD. Villain leads for 10K. Your move. I will put results in next post.
July 24, 2018
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I decide to call flop. Turn is 5d, no new flush draws, giving me a pair. Villain puts me in for my last 29K, with a pot of 59K. Now what?
November 6, 2018
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I think I squeeze in this situation A5s, but probably a little bit bigger, prefer all them to fold. I fold on V lead here, may be shove. We may have some fold equity, but not sure enough odds to call. Floating for further shove doesn’t looks appealing, not enough chips to put enough pressure. As played I am not risking my tournament life with 3rd pair.
Does it make sense?
July 24, 2018
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For sure we want them all to fold. Squeezing to say 15K looks like I am committed to the pot as well, so it looks super strong.
I definitely get the fold the flop idea. But, I think we have a few too many assets to do that. We are about 30% versus his range, and are getting a much better price than that. We close the action, and have position on the next street. Villain doesn’t always jam the turn, so we can take a free card or jam ourselves on the turn depending on the card.
On the turn, we get one of the many cards that gives us equity. Actually, it keeps are equity about the same. I always wonder when a commentator says the player picked up equity on the turn. I know they mean they have new outs, but unless it is a card that helps in 2 ways (like the 6/7s here), our equity usually remains about the same. In this case, once again we have about 30% vs Villains range. That number depends on how many HH combos Villain has. He might even have some pure bluffs, so we are probably supposed to call.
Also note, this is a long tournament, so tournament life doesn’t matter quite as much. We are far from the $, but folding does leave us with a good sized reshove stack, for at least 2 orbits.
As played, I did fold, then lost asubsequent race with 55 vs KJ.
February 8, 2017
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I like how you played it. I’m not folding many hands to a < 1/4 pot flop lead in a 3bet pot at this stack depth, so GSSD + BDFD + A high is an easy call. I think it would be too spewy in this hand but if we were deeper, maybe an SPR of 2-2.5 rather than ~1, I’d at least consider making a smallish (~ 35k) raise here. If we face a shove we’re unlikely to be giving up much equity, and our backdoor outs give us the option to consider shoving on some turn cards.
Although the 5 on the turn gives us a pair and a couple of extra outs, it strikes me as a trap card. Hitting a 2 will now split the pot with some of villain’s range, and there’s no guarantee that the 2h, 5h, or Ah is live. We could be on a 2-outer + split outs vs. AJ. I think we need to rely on villain shoving a lot of flush draws and some combos like 65s to have >= 30% equity vs. range, which seems optimistic even if it’s quite possible.
I don’t usually squeeze in similar spots but it’s a perfectly viable strategy. I sometimes err on the side of preflop passivity to a fault, but I think my postflop advantage when in position is so valuable that I’m willing to pass on many profitable squeezes at ~30-50 bb effective stacks. I want every opportunity to force my opponents into difficult OOP post-flop decisions, but that is merely a personal preference and undoubtedly a higher variance approach than making a profitable squeeze.
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