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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy KJ flopped TP facing overpot shove …

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KJ flopped TP facing overpot shove in red spade open

usedstars

Australia

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August 12, 2012 - 5:56 pm

Villain was playing 21/21 over a small sample. One thing i noticed was once he got moved to our table, the very first hand he raised to 2400 at 150/300 from the HJ with a 21bb stack.

Poker Stars $50+$5 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t200/t400 Blinds + t50 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

hope2win_now (BB): BB = 17.7, t7080
Knelex (UTG): BB = 11.8, t4718
Hero (UTG+1): BB = 29.6, t11830
mariolo (UTG+2): BB = 31.2, t12472
Margency (MP1): BB = 46.2, t18489
Panskiy_V (MP2): BB = 2.2, t868
le0510 (CO): BB = 73.0, t29218
xBOEx (BTN): BB = 5.7, t2260
Wolves42 (SB): BB = 21.9, t8776

Pre Flop: (t1050) Hero is UTG+1 with J of diamonds K of hearts
1 fold, Hero raises to t840, 5 folds, Wolves42 calls t640, 1 fold

Flop: (t2530) 5 of hearts 6 of diamonds K of spades (2 players)
Wolves42 bets t1600, Hero calls t1600

Turn: (t5730) 8 of spades (2 players)
Wolves42 bets t6286 all in, Hero????

vomit fold? or call it off? thoughts?

runningouts

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August 13, 2012 - 5:45 pm

I'm calling here, if he has a hand that's beating you then he just butchered it and I would pay him off. But when he donk leads the flop I don't really believe it, the only reason I am flatting it is to let him bet again on turn, he does and I snap it.

Turbulence

Falkirk, Scotland

Showing Marc Alioto How Its Done

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August 13, 2012 - 9:21 pm

this is close imo.

There are not too many Kx hands you beat here or havent picked up extra equity K4 & K9 picked up gutshots, K7 is openend, KT is the only combo your way ahead of other than K2&3 are these really likely?.

He could have flopped a set or 2 pair (although I think most of the time these would be c/r)

The only other possible hands are 79, 87, 47? KQ, slow played AK AA KK and possibly 88 and 77.

Against this range you are a 60% favourite on flop, so the call is correct. On turn against this range your 40 / 60 dog to the same range. Its going to cost 6286 to win 12016 so based on that a call is correct I believe.

Any math wizz out there want to elaborate on this?

Interesting…

aka Prophead340 aka Prophead2000 aka Turbulence_1

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duggs

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August 13, 2012 - 9:43 pm

hate his line, his donk lead rather than c/r should cap his range somewhat, likely turns up with a midpair or something stupid, occasionally he has you beat but just note it and move on