Hey guys,

A spot that came up earlier today in one of my tournaments. Really interested to hear what peoples thoughts are here & if anyone thinks this is not a call, what hands would be a call.

Situation was 15 left, I was 7/15 with 16bb. The difference between my current position 7th & 1st was literally about 4-5bb. 

Villain stats were 15/10 9.6 3bet 4.0 agg over 586 hands. 

Sharkscope stats are:

Now with the stats & the fact he is a winning reg makes me think he is pushing pretty much ATC here for 6bb on the button with the SB having only 5bb & me with 16bb.

K3s vs ATC = 56% equity +EV as #BBs = 1.97 (14.58% of stack)

K3s vs 90% = 52% equity +EV as #BBs = 1.52 (11.24% of stack)

K3s vs 80% = 51% equity +EV as #BBs = 1.40 (10.4% of stack)

K3s vs 70% =49.4% equity +EV as #BB's = 1.22 (9% of stack)

K3s vs 40% = 41% equity +EV as #BBs = 0.27 (2.04% of stack.

Basically for this to even be a close fold by running the maths villian has to be shoving only top 30% of hands. I can never see a winning reg shoving only top 30% of hands on the button for 6bb given the stack sizes behind.

Im having a disagreement with a friend that this is a very clear call imo so just putting it out there to get some feedback from others. 

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t25000/t50000 Blinds + t5000 – 8 players

TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

hugobosss7 (SB): BB = 5.7, t284948
Hero (BB): BB = 16.2, t810088
Kahcher Jan (UTG): BB = 10.3, t512658
roughnut88 (UTG+1): BB = 13.1, t656030
sh4wshank (MP1): BB = 23.3, t1162625
torlador (MP2): BB = 3.3, t163320
ruslanmd (CO): BB = 11.2, t558920
DuRR99 (BTN): BB = 6.2, t311277

Pre Flop: (t115000) Hero is BB with K 3
5 folds, DuRR99 raises to t306277 all in, SB folds, Hero?