Fold. I think a flop check raise to about 360 gives you a lot of info on how strong he is. If he calls or raises, I am not putting any more money in on future streets.

I did fold. Even though I lost 1/3 of my stack, 2k in chips is plenty to work with in this tournament. 

I had 300+ hands on him, but to tell u the truth, I don't quite remember him. I mean his numbers are 8/10/2 and PFR fr ep of 4%, so he's not very active. I did see during the hand he had a very tight opening ep range, and if his ep opening range is truly this tight, pp combos outnumber unpaired combos by alot if it's 88+, AQ+.

I would certainly expect a player with numbers such as these to ch/behind 99, TT, QQ, and KK after the A falls.

There's certainly an argument for raising at any point, but idk, bad players do weird thing with these ultra dry paired board flops. And alot of bad players have no problems playing for stacks with any overpair to the board, even early. So I just didn't want to get blown off the hand with the best hand, esp on this kind of flop.

It's interesting u say to raise the turn for info. I saw an interesting thread that a gd player started saying there should be no such thing. Either u raise for value or as a bluff. Period. He says there are only two reasons to bet, to make worst call or to make better fold.

Andrew Brokos does add a third reason, betting for protection, but he says that reason to bet should be a much smaller percentage than the other two.

Thanks alot james – hey something really weird happened tonight. I was playing the same tourny, and he shows up on my table. So I asked him in chat if he remembered the hand. At first he didn't. And as I got disgustingly ko'd by some champion in the bb (19bbs), who called my AJo 16 bb open shove with A5s, when the 5 came on the river, (50/461 left), – sorry, but I had to add that bad beat in there, he told me to wait and he'll look for the hand in his HEM.

So he says, 'yeah I got it, I remember the hand now, what did you think I had?' I punched in AA and told him I had JJ. He tells me, 'good fold, that's exactly what I had.' He said he wanted to make the overshove look like he was bluffing the A on the river. He said he read me for a decent pair.

Who knows, maybe he was lying. I doubt it, though – the way it happened, he seemed like a nice guy.

But everything does make perfect sense in the hand now if he really had AA.

Can you believe that?

Good analysis of hand guys.

Originally i was thinking raise for value on flop (or at least turn) as with your passive line it encourages him to lead out again and theres a lot of cards that you dont like to see fall so your betting for protection too (any A, K, Q or ). 

Perhaps I'm influenced by knowing the result (I believe him too, if he went to bother of looking for hand) but looking at his stats of 11/8 and its early levels, in my experience people playing tight solid won't spew on river bluff shove with middle pairs, missed flushes. broadways etc but if this was from a player with aggro or loose stats it would be a different matter….