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JJ in a tought spot: call or raise pre? fold to action post on dry board?
Sen
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March 11, 2015 - 1:19 pm
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Villain was tight for 40+ hands, running 18/8 or something like that.

We were about 65 left with 45 paid. Crusing with a top10 stack.

 

PokerStars Hand €5.40+€0.60 EUR Hold'em

No Limit – Level XIX (1000/2000) – 2015/03/10 13:18:08 CET [2015/03/10 8:18:08 ET]
Table '1160897616 7' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: jeanjean44 (41968 in chips)
Seat 2: kasimir22 (51046 in chips)
Seat 3: celmarlion (110385 in chips)
Seat 4: Hero (87046 in chips) in Big Blind
Seat 5: zitT1337 (45568 in chips)
Seat 7: Sibarito21 (83064 in chips) in UTG+1
Seat 8: espanjarie (23047 in chips)
Seat 9: Oncle Slamz (29409 in chips)
jeanjean44: posts the ante 250
kasimir22: posts the ante 250
celmarlion: posts the ante 250
Hero: posts the ante 250
zitT1337: posts the ante 250
Sibarito21: posts the ante 250
espanjarie: posts the ante 250
Oncle Slamz: posts the ante 250
celmarlion: posts small blind 1000
Hero: posts big blind 2000

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to Hero [Jheart Jdiamond]
zitT1337: folds
Sibarito21: raises 2000 to 4000
espanjarie: folds
Oncle Slamz: folds
jeanjean44: folds
kasimir22: folds
celmarlion: calls 3000
Hero: raises 8000 to 12000
Sibarito21: calls 8000
celmarlion: calls 8000

*** FLOP *** [4diamond 3club 8heart]
celmarlion: checks
Hero: bets 17000
Sibarito21: raises 53814 to 70814 and is all-in

Hero: ???

 

My guess is, that the best play would be to bet less OTF and then fold to a large raise or an all-in.

I also wonder if you would just flat pre and then try to get to a cheap showdown if villain gives us action post or do you prefere the raise?

Thoughts? Thanks.

folding_aces_pre_yo
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March 11, 2015 - 5:21 pm
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Yeah your sizing otf is too big imo , i'd make it around $12,000.

 

i'd call , there's a chance v is shoving here with 99/TT i think its unlikely v has played QQ+ this way they probably would had 4-bet this. Also given how much you have commited into the pot , you're probably getting good odds on the call.

 

Also given that v is tight  ( thoughts its a small sample size)  i'd much rather flat pre because if v 4-bets we're going to have to give up all the equity we have and would be bad if we called the 4-bet since his range will have us crushed , so by flatting we're keeping there range wider , which could be hands like  AJs+ JQs+ KQ, 88+  and stuff like that which your hand plays well against.

Kalculater
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March 11, 2015 - 6:32 pm
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You can make sizing a little smaller on the flop. I am not folding this flop to this c/r. I feel that most villains will not c/r their really strong hands such as sets etc but have seen villains get spazzy in these spots with 55-77, 99-TT.

 

You should definitely be 3betting preflop. If you arent going to 3bet this from the BB, what are you going to 3bet??

RedsoxNets5
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March 11, 2015 - 6:41 pm
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I don't think flatting pre here is a huge mistake but I definitely want to 3b here. Just something to point out that I haven't seen anyone say yet here: I think you have to go way bigger preflop. I used to make it this size a lot too and a few good players pointed out that sizing needs to be much bigger oop. Add to that that we are squeezing here and I really like making it 15K-16K here, as big as that seems. 

There's 38K in the middle and we bet 17K into 2 players? Doesn't seem unreasonable tbh. When we get shoved on it's just super awkward. A guy running 18/8 here will show sets sometimes (but typically 88 more than anything) and occassionally QQ/KK but I think it's very safe to assume we will see 99 and TT here as well (maybe 77/66 that spaz and “put us on AK”?) I have a tough time folding here based on that range. It's too bad it was rainbow flop because otherwise we could add flush draws to his range. I'm still calling as played.

Kalculater
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March 11, 2015 - 7:05 pm
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Are you ever 3bet bluff squeezing here?

RedsoxNets5
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March 11, 2015 - 7:48 pm
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Probably not 3b bluffing but I think that's even more reason to flat rather than 3b. It makes it harder to play postflop but also keeps our range much wider than 3 betting does.

folding_aces_pre_yo
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March 11, 2015 - 10:16 pm
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OP has said v is a tight player, you’d want to polarize your range against this opponent,.

so basically if your plans are going to be to 3-bet fold in this spot you should then just flat, I’d much rather 3-bet here with a hand like K8s

Kalculater
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March 12, 2015 - 1:03 am
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RedsoxNets5 said:

Probably not 3b bluffing but I think that's even more reason to flat rather than 3b. It makes it harder to play postflop but also keeps our range much wider than 3 betting does.

If you are not 3bet bluffing ever in this spot you are very unbalanced. What are you 3betting for value here? Why would you want to keep our range wide here?

 

folding_aces_pre_yo said:

OP has said v is a tight player, you'd want to polarize your range against this opponent,.

so basically if your plans are going to be to 3-bet fold in this spot you should then just flat, I'd much rather 3-bet here with a hand like K8s

I would much rather flat K8s over JJ (i.e. 3bet JJ over K8s). K8s plays really well postflop with K-high flushes and making sneaky two pairs. I agree if we are 3bet folding we should be flatting however I would definitely be 3betting with the intention to play a pot against one of the two villains. JJ does not play super well OOP and multiway.

Sen
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March 12, 2015 - 7:17 am
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Thanks very much for the rich discussion so far. Kalculator, my reasoning to 3-bet pre was the same as yours. I would fold if both players gave me action but get it in vs 1 villain. What do you say about RedsoxNets suggestion to 3bet bigger?

theginger45

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March 12, 2015 - 9:26 am
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I might go a little bigger preflop OOP (with my whole range, obviously), maybe around 14.5k. When you just make it 3x you're likely to get called twice here, since if you don't get past the first guy the second guy rarely folds, so I think bigger avoids this a little more easily. I think 3betting pre is fine in general though, I don't imagine being too unhappy to get it in with JJ here unless the villains are quite tight.

On the flop, you could go a little smaller, but not too much. I wouldn't go much less than 15k. I can't see how you can fold to the shove – there are plenty of players who might check/shove 99 or TT there, and some who might do it with hands as weak as A8 or 98s.

RedsoxNets5
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March 12, 2015 - 3:49 pm
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Kalculater said:

 

If you are not 3bet bluffing ever in this spot you are very unbalanced. What are you 3betting for value here? Why would you want to keep our range wide here?

 

You guys make good points for why we don't need to be wide against this particular villain. But do we think that an 18/8 is just going to open EP then decide to fold the hand later? I'm not sure how profitable bluffing can really be here. But if we do not need our range to be wide then I guess it doesn't matter if we're ever bluffing here. I probably lean towards 3 betting but as I said earlier I don't think flatting is an insane option.

Kalculater
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March 12, 2015 - 6:40 pm
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RedsoxNets5 said:

Kalculater said:

 

If you are not 3bet bluffing ever in this spot you are very unbalanced. What are you 3betting for value here? Why would you want to keep our range wide here?

 

You guys make good points for why we don't need to be wide against this particular villain. But do we think that an 18/8 is just going to open EP then decide to fold the hand later? I'm not sure how profitable bluffing can really be here. But if we do not need our range to be wide then I guess it doesn't matter if we're ever bluffing here. I probably lean towards 3 betting but as I said earlier I don't think flatting is an insane option.

Villain is definitely going to open EP and then decide to fold later on certain boards, depending on the action. I think there would be lower PP, some suited broadways etc that he is going to fold if there are overcards/he hits nothing.

 

I understand your comments to a degree. Why do you NEED to keep your range wide here? Why would we want a wide range here? What do you think the benefits are?

RedsoxNets5
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March 12, 2015 - 7:01 pm
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Kalculater said:

I understand your comments to a degree. Why do you NEED to keep your range wide here? Why would we want a wide range here? What do you think the benefits are?

I mean I just sort of figure that our range being wide is better than our range being narrow because it's less obvious what we have? But against a tight ABC player who is only playing his cards then it obviously doesn't matter so I agree with you guys on that.

theginger45

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March 13, 2015 - 5:39 am
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RedsoxNets5 said:

Kalculater said:

I understand your comments to a degree. Why do you NEED to keep your range wide here? Why would we want a wide range here? What do you think the benefits are?

I mean I just sort of figure that our range being wide is better than our range being narrow because it's less obvious what we have? But against a tight ABC player who is only playing his cards then it obviously doesn't matter so I agree with you guys on that.

You're mixing up the difference between our perceived range and our actual range. It's good for us to have a wide perceived range in some spots where our actual range is tight, because that means we get less credit when we have a strong hand. However, if our perceived range is wide, and our actual range is also wide, that means our opponents have accurate information to work with, which makes the hand harder to play. There are also plenty of spots where we shouldn't have a wide actual range in general, simply because our opponent is likely to have a strong hand and our playing a wide range of hands would just be punting away chips.

What you're doing here is to assume that other players are only thinking about 'what we have' in any given hand. This isn't the case. Any half-decent player isn't going to be worried about what you have, they're going to be thinking about your range. So it's much more beneficial to think about the difference between what hands you would actually play in a given spot, versus what your opponents think you would play.

In this particular spot, there's an advantage to having our opponents think we're capable of 3bet bluffing here, since it makes them more likely to 4bet bluff us, so it's a good thing if we have a wider perceived range. But in order to work out whether it's a good spot to have a wider actual range and start bluffing more often, we have to work out whether our opponents are likely to give us credit.

If it's a good spot to have a wider perceived range because we get less credit, we probably shouldn't have too wide of an actual range. If it's a good spot to have a wider actual range, either for value or as bluffs, it becomes less so if our opponents know that, because our perceived range gets wider too, and the gap between the two starts to narrow.

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