November 18, 2013
$125 live tournament. Blinds 150/300/25
Villains – main villain has vocally told the table he has started playing tournament poker a few months ago. He also told us about some surprising wins when he first started playing. He has told the table he limp / folded some PPs in position in situations where he had great odds. His play seems very straight foward. His bet sizes tend to line up with what he thinks his hand is worth. He currently has about 25K.
The other two villains are generally loose passive with stacks about 16K
Hero has a big stack at this point (~32k), mostly by getting paid on big hands, although I did win a pot were I bluffed the river with bottom pair and got called by AK.
Pre-flop, one limper in early position, villain raises to 1200 from MP, Hero flats in cutoff with 54 SB calls and limper calls.
Pot (5200) 975 SB and first limper check. Villain bets 1200. Hero?
My initial intent in calling pre was to use position and my knowledge of villain's range to either get him to over-commit with an overpair on a favaorable flop, or find a good bluffing opportunity. This seems like a great opporunity where my calling range hits the flop much better than main villain's range, and his bet size seems to confirm that. The main complication is the other two stations in the pot as this could hit them pretty hard with flush and straight possibilities. Any flush draw that calls me will have 15 outs and the other villains could easily have pair + gutter hands. I think calling is the worst option, for me the debate is between raise or fold.
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