Tricky spot, I like your fold. Hard to construct a 16BB coldcall range for villain, but it is likely heavily weighted to suited broadways. I don’t expect unknown villains to have offsuit aces worse than AT, so you’re probably crushed if Axh is raising. I think both getting it in on the turn or calling and playing a river OOP with an effective SPR of ~ 1:4 are pretty spewy.

I think there might be two decisions worth examining earlier in the hand.

It’s close but I don’t know if we want to open ATo UTG with so many shorties behind us. We should face a lot of shoves and have 38 – 47% equity vs. most ranges. Not the worst of spots, but depending on table conditions it may happen frequently enough to outweigh the value of stealing the blinds or playing vs a BB defending range.

I think our turn bet is much too large. At this stack depth I think our entire range wants to bet smaller. I think villain’s continue range with his few flush draws will call 12k roughly as often as 7k (this might change if villain coldcalls wide), and you’re making it harder for villain to call with many second best pairs by picking the larger size.

I would prefer a check/call line on the turn, planning to value bet non-heart rivers if it checks through. If betting, I would prefer sizing around 6 – 7.5k.

Oh I forgot that the antes are larger in hypers, definitely a good open. We’re for sure happy getting in against 5bb regardless, we are probably 55%+ against their range, but we can’t really fold to 9bb stack (even folding to 12bb shove is kind of nitty). Still, bigger antes mean get after it and love the variance 😀