July 7, 2012
Its a tough spot for sure. Basically you have the nut air hand and a backdoor flush draw. If you where HU with villain I would say that this is a good board for him to jam on as it is so dry and it is going to be difficult for you call with anything but a strong pair. With the BB still in the hand (regardless of his previous plays) its hard for villain to have complete air here either. I think it most likely he has 88-TT, sometimes 55 or 66, most of the time I think he 3 bets pre with JJ & QQ as he really doesnt want additional callers. It is possible he has trapped with KK & AA. The only other real possibility is 56 on a semi bluff, does he really jam with a 7 here?
It costing 26487 more to win 45387 so you're getting 1.71:1 on a call. Against the assumed value range from above of 55, 66, 88-AA, A4s, 45s and assumed semi bluff range of 56s and any sensible 7, 22&33, you only have 28.2% equity. Even against just the semi bluff range you only have 36.1% equity.
I think you just have to sigh, fold and move on. You're going to cripple your stack here if you call and loose, you can find a better spot.
aka Prophead340 aka Prophead2000 aka Turbulence_1
PocketFives Profile: .....urbulence/
June 2, 2012
Seems like 65 or some other straight draw to me. Not sure how competent villain is. Seems kind of fishy by is jam here which leads me to believe he could definitely do it with the hands you mention above as well. I fold though as I'm really not sure what this monkey is doing and we can obv wait for better spots.
June 1, 2012
Why wouldnt he be flatting with like all pairs on this flop tho?
——-
If I’m reading this right, he only has around 20bbs left post and if he just flats your cb with 88-1010 or maybe lower pockets, it would be a tough spot for him if an over card hits the turn. As he is a supernova, he’s prob on quite a few tables so id expect him to flat lower pockets here pre as he starts with too many bbs to just jam in mp1. I’d imagine if he has 88-1010 etc and he’s multi tabling or even just wants to avoid a tough spot on the turn he’d jam these hands every time. I doubt he’s flatting sc here pre and I also think this is def a fold.
I like to quickly check how many tables they are on if they aren’t hidden as they tend to avoid hard decisions with lots of tables going (unless its deep itm/ft.)
September 29, 2012
Fold. Why worry about playing a guessing game. If you are thinking I might be good is usually the times where you talk yourself into a bad call for more than half your stack. Fold and move on the the next hand. You have nothing, except a missed AK.
Further, remember he did not shove heads up either, he shoved with the BB still active in the hand, whose, check really means nothing at this point.
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