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Is this worth value betting?
Wein
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October 24, 2010 - 1:52 pm
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PokerStars Game #51599554653: Tournament #336010447, $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit – Level III (25/50) – 2010/10/24 13:44:28 ET

Table '336010447 167' 9-max Seat #3 is the button

Seat 1: GS_LT (5850 in chips)

Seat 2: xlx_luis_xlx (2235 in chips)

Seat 3: IveGotToejam (5500 in chips)

Seat 4: ugritaly (2550 in chips)

Seat 5: jpapola (4325 in chips)

Seat 6: NutsErryTime (2740 in chips)

Seat 7: triantafill (6601 in chips)

Seat 8: TotalBiz (4035 in chips)

Seat 9: cradshark_ (5750 in chips)

ugritaly: posts small blind 25

jpapola: posts big blind 50

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to IveGotToejam [Qh Th]

NutsErryTime: folds

triantafill: raises 100 to 150

TotalBiz: folds

cradshark_: folds

GS_LT: folds

xlx_luis_xlx: folds

IveGotToejam: calls 150

ugritaly: calls 125

jpapola: folds

*** FLOP *** [6s 9c 2d]

ugritaly: checks

triantafill: checks

IveGotToejam: checks

*** TURN *** [6s 9c 2d] [Td]

ugritaly: bets 250

triantafill: calls 250

IveGotToejam: calls 250

*** RIVER *** [6s 9c 2d Td] [3d]

ugritaly: checks

triantafill: checks

IveGotToejam: bets 465

and while we’re here… Is this a standard fold?

Full Tilt Poker Game #24970040512: $25K Super Stack (Early Antes) (193168119), Table 83 – 25/50 Ante 5 – No Limit Hold’em – 15:03:47 ET – 2010/10/24
Seat 1: inhidonks (5,035)
Seat 2: aussierover (4,602)
Seat 3: ttbear (4,389)
Seat 4: Smerks (5,119)
Seat 6: stillyoung57 (15,520)
Seat 7: pw1788 (4,719)
Seat 8: ChasingIdiot (5,577)
Seat 9: Ddayy (5,086)
inhidonks antes 5
aussierover antes 5
ttbear antes 5
Smerks antes 5
stillyoung57 antes 5
pw1788 antes 5
ChasingIdiot antes 5
Ddayy antes 5
Smerks posts the small blind of 25
stillyoung57 posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ChasingIdiot [Jc Jd]
pw1788 folds
ChasingIdiot raises to 150
Ddayy folds
inhidonks has 15 seconds left to act
inhidonks folds
aussierover has 15 seconds left to act
aussierover calls 150
ttbear folds
Smerks has 15 seconds left to act
Smerks raises to 665
stillyoung57 folds
ChasingIdiot has 15 seconds left to act
ChasingIdiot folds
aussierover folds
Uncalled bet of 515 returned to Smerks
mrflipflap007 sits down
Smerks mucks
Smerks wins the pot (540)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 540 | Rake 0
Seat 1: inhidonks folded before the Flop
Seat 2: aussierover folded before the Flop
Seat 3: ttbear (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: Smerks (small blind) collected (540), mucked
Seat 6: stillyoung57 (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 7: pw1788 folded before the Flop
Seat 8: ChasingIdiot folded before the Flop
Seat 9: Ddayy folded before the Flop

airedale05
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October 24, 2010 - 8:14 pm
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first hand i see only a real small value for bettin meanwhile there are lots of draws that hit that will repop here…as well as better T's.  With 2 others going to the river on that sort of drawy board i'll just check behind.

airedale05
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October 24, 2010 - 8:16 pm
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In regards to hand 2….we'll take callin out since you don't have near the odds to just set mine….the next question would have to be if you have ne reads or HUD on the villain…if he's been a monkey up to here than i'd give him the pile.  But if he hadn't gotten out of line up to this point than i'll usually fold here.

bennymacca
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October 24, 2010 - 11:18 pm
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these are way above the stakes that i usually play, but this is my two cents. 

 

in the first hand, it is all dependent on how often you think one of them bluff raises. if they are only raising with 78 or some other monster, then i think its fine to put in a small value bet on the river. 

 

second hand i like also. i think you can only call/raise here if you are prepared to get it in unimproved on a safe flop. if not, then its a clear fold imo. 

FkCoolers
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October 24, 2010 - 11:25 pm
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I need to think about that value bet for a while… I think my gut instinct is just checking there but we can probably get called by worse.

I fold JJ in that spot.

airedale05
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October 25, 2010 - 1:44 am
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i'm just not sure which worse hands are calling on the river….It's not the original raiser that worrys me in this hand it's the second player in the pot that I would be a little wary of.

bennymacca
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October 25, 2010 - 2:13 am
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airedale05 said:

i'm just not sure which worse hands are calling on the river….It's not the original raiser that worrys me in this hand it's the second player in the pot that I would be a little wary of.


i think a lot of middle pocket pairs play this way, 55-88

 

maybe A9, JT, AT, KT.

 

hmmm. probably pretty thin. definitely a marginal spot now that i think more about it. 

kidgolfer
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October 25, 2010 - 8:15 am
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why did u call the flop there?

FkCoolers
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October 25, 2010 - 8:54 am
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kidgolfer said:

why did u call the flop there?


The flop was checked through. He called the Turn once he had made top pair on the board.

wyldeyed
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October 25, 2010 - 9:01 am
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Is the first hand part of a turbo $109? If so I think I try to get some value but it may be a bet fold IDK. Second hand you are just treating JJ as the same as small pair no worries on fold(though me my self prob could not fold it pre).

Hagbard Celine
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October 25, 2010 - 9:16 am
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1: as long as villains are the type that are never bluff-raising then i really like the bet and esp the size.

 

2: are we readless? if so then yeah i fold but would definitely call against some players.

 

@ aredale: jamming the JJ here even against a monkey is spew. we have to risk 5k to win ~1k in a spot where even fish will play near perfect against the shove.

airedale05
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October 25, 2010 - 1:22 pm
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Hagbard Celine said:

1: as long as villains are the type that are never bluff-raising then i really like the bet and esp the size.

 

2: are we readless? if so then yeah i fold but would definitely call against some players.

 

@ aredale: jamming the JJ here even against a monkey is spew. we have to risk 5k to win ~1k in a spot where even fish will play near perfect against the shove.


 

I agree that the jam is a little bit of an overbet, but I \shove here for 2 reasons

1) in these lower buyin ss's (which i assume this is a $26) ….ppl will call very light even this early with ALOT of smaller pp's even AJ+ even though AJ is a little thin

hmmm

2) think i'll back off of my set mine comment…JJ is too strong of a hand to set mine with at this stage vs the monkeys u see…so maybe callin is the better line….i said shove because if we're gonna raise we're pot committing ourselves to his shove neway….i believe better than 2:1 on teh call if we make it say 1700 or so…and when this is the case..i just shove…but relooking at the hand….flatting may be a better choice…but if u raise this…i think a shove is best.

Wein
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October 26, 2010 - 12:59 am
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the first hand I think a lot of middle pairs do call and if that is the case, we can v-bet.  As it is, I got called by Q-T.

 

The second hand, smerks is a regular and i don't think he's getting out of line with the blinds being so small out of the sb.  I think set mining here is out of the question as it's 1/10th of our stack pre.  I think I did like the fold best, but wanted to get opinions from everyone.  TYTY for the comments and I hope this was useful in some way 🙂

bjizzle44
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October 26, 2010 - 9:06 am
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Problem 1:

as posted, solid play as long as villian is never bluff raising here. But dont think a chk behind is ever awful either as this board is trully scary and sb could of come along with any two. Would hate to get pushed off of best hand even tho in this spot ur sharing the wealth.

 

Problem 2:

confused! initially i think squeeze. definately think a call is in order in pos facing wt could very well be a “move” from a skilled reg. obv AA, KK, QQ makes this play but i think there are more hands in his range that he's making this play with as well to determine where his hand stands. i think its -ev here to narrow villians 3bet range just to the three hands that beat us. AK and AQ does this as well which we're a slight fav. i think ur skill enough to make this call with over a 100bb and continue without getting too out of line or crippling ur stack. ur in position. scenario, u make the call and more than two over cards hit and ur done with just under 100bb left. worst case scenario obv is u call and board comes all rags and u cant get away and he has one of the three over prs and ur hating life cause u called…. if villian was unknown and somewt nitty then i may be more incline to fold, but against a reg with 100+bb and in pos i think we can call here and evaluate from there.

bjizz

FkCoolers
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October 26, 2010 - 10:53 am
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bjizzle44 said:

Problem 2:

confused! initially i think squeeze. definately think a call is in order in pos facing wt could very well be a “move” from a skilled reg. obv AA, KK, QQ makes this play but i think there are more hands in his range that he's making this play with as well to determine where his hand stands. i think its -ev here to narrow villians 3bet range just to the three hands that beat us. AK and AQ does this as well which we're a slight fav. i think ur skill enough to make this call with over a 100bb and continue without getting too out of line or crippling ur stack. ur in position. scenario, u make the call and more than two over cards hit and ur done with just under 100bb left. worst case scenario obv is u call and board comes all rags and u cant get away and he has one of the three over prs and ur hating life cause u called…. if villian was unknown and somewt nitty then i may be more incline to fold, but against a reg with 100+bb and in pos i think we can call here and evaluate from there.

bjizz


I think Wein has a pretty tight image in the eyes of most regs. It's not just the villain's range that we need to think about. It's his idea of our range.

When Wein raises UTG+1 you can rule out a lot of mediocre hands like ATo, KJo, etc.  

I really don't think smerks is doing this with hands like 77-99, AJ, or even TT … he'd set mine the pairs and fold AJ.

I'm not exactly narrowing his range to a tiny sample size because I don't have history with him but I am looking at my overall equity versus a perceived range where he makes a large 3 bet from the SB and my equity is not good.

I also don't think a reg gets out of line and picks this spot to 3 bet bluff a hand like 89s at 25/50 blinds when he's out of position.

It all adds up to a fold for me.

If we flat and an overcard comes we just lost 10% of our stack if we fold to a c-bet. Or we can lose more when all low cards come and we call a sizeable c-bet and fold to a 2nd barrel.

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