Copy paste from my BR thread.
A hand I would like some input on. 100 players from ITM in Party 500k GTD. Mincash is $419.
The reads I got on the other player is loose, he playes 26/19, 7 3bet, 53 fold 3bet. fold cbet 43. Steal 57.
Is it a correct play or should I just shut down, Is it too agro?
I somehow like my play, but maybe I should have slowed down.
He tanked pretty long on the turn bet.
My own image is tight, I had run some 3bets and 4bets but showed down good hands.
Thanks for your time. /Mike
August 4, 2014
Why did you inflate the pot with a weak hand. Preflop raise is fine depending on your reads on the player and in position. cbetting and the size is good on the flop. So at this point, did you stop and think what he may have? Even a single ace or queen is beating you, any pocket pairs are beating you. You will only make sure you have a good hand if a 10 hits.
On the turn, he is offering you a free card. I would have taken it with my weak draw and fold to any bet on the river.
no need to hollywood with that kind of a good stack.
May 30, 2012
August 16, 2013
Mike, NeverAA is on solid ground here, but one thing that bears thinking about is your read on the villain and how that impacted your decisions. Assuming that the sample size is large enough to have those numbers be meaningful, calling him “loose” and proceeding without much more thought is a bit of an oversimplification. 26/19 isn’t all that loose in this day and age, and a 7% 3 bet is decidedly not loose at all. He is on the edge of loose, but also on the aggressive side and somewhat sticky (he calls more than half of c-bets and calls close to half of 3 bets).
I think this makes KJo not the best 3 betting hand here. Against a guy who is going to fold pre a lot, or, even better, call and then x/f a lot, 3 betting this hand makes a ton of sense, but against a stickier opponent with a wide HJ opening range it’s probably better to flat pre and play a smaller pot against the wider range. You also have these weird stacks in the blinds – the SB has a pretty sweet cold 4-bet shove stack, but his stack is a bit too big to squeeze shove, and the BB is short enough that if he squeeze shoves, you can make a correct decision depending on what the HJ does.
As played, I don’t mind the c-bet, but that turn is really bad for you because it really narrows what you can credibly rep to get a better hand to fold. Is he going to believe that you have AA or QQ or AQ here? Or even KT? And many of those hands are in his range as well – maybe even all of them if he’s going to be tricky with AA. With two flush draws on the board, if you just peel the turn, it will give you the opportunity to (a) get there, or (b) credibly rep one of the flushes on close to 50% of rivers if he checks.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
Never,
I don’t think he was betting for value on the turn…
Punty,
Nice post. I don’t love bluffing this hand specifically because if you bet and get called a K and maybe even a J may not be outs for you on the river. You can preserve that equity, so to speak, by checking back this hand and bluffing when your outs are more clean.
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