January 27, 2013
Nightly $33 T on Merge
Hero has been LAG last two orbits, getting good hands and playing them for value.
Villian is Merge Pro with over 25K profit this year. 29/24/14 over 85 hands.
Blinds 300/600 , 90 players left , ITM is 45.
Stack sizes Hero 34bb, villian 47bb
Hero has KQs in mp, min raise
Villian is next to act and reraise to 2.2
all fold back to me, I call ( pot is 6600)
Flop is K52 rainbow
Hero checks, villian bets little over 1/3 pot (2400), hero calls
turn is J, hero checks, villian bets little less than 1/2 pot (5000)
hero ?
Note: villian has a bet/turn of 100% 3 of 3
I feel villain is very capable of having an under pair or A rag here
Thanks for the replies
May 30, 2012
September 14, 2014
IMO it's rather much unlikely that V will 3-bet a hand like 55/22 pre so it's unlikely that v has monsters in their range which has connected on the flop and you've also got the K blocker so i think KK is unlikely too.
given your read i'd flat and re-evaluate on the river.
Only hands that are beating you is AA/JJ and maybe AK/KK but i think thats heavely discounted against this aggressive opponent.
Slight chance maybe a hand like KJ improved but like u said he's been betting 100% of turns so i think his range may consist of marginal hands/air , but i'd lean more towards the air side. If v had a hand like 99/TT he'll likely check these hands back ott and try to get to showdown for cheap.
August 4, 2014
looks like I would check-call this all day everyday. The times I will take it down will be way more than I lose it. And he is not shoving or anything, at least not yet. He is betting reasonable. I believe he is barrelling to get a fold. I think, his most likely holding is AJ or AQ.
January 27, 2013
thanks for the replies, here is how the hand played out.
I check- raise river all-in (had less than pot size bet on if I called the turn bet) , not the optimum move. Only getting called with better hands and QQ.
Villain calls and shows J5s, Nice 3-bet range, guess that is why he is a winning player.
I think I played the hand correctly, except for the turn shove, outcome would have been the same because I was calling his river shove on any card.
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