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Is this a high variance move to CHIP UP or Just BAD PLAY on my Part! LOCK 3R $1750 Post Add-on
WillMcCoy
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May 21, 2011 - 9:05 pm
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…..4932113-57

Hope the replayer works as this is the Merge Network for Lock Poker! But in this spot i decided to bump it up in position v.s all the limpers to take control post flop. This is the $3R $1750 on Lock and i registered late and only had time to win a pot and add-on! Well anyway since i seem to get in these spots a lot; I thought that i would ask the great minds here a TPE for advice in this spot. Usually in every Mtt i play i feel there will come spots where you will be faced with a possible high varaince play; That will either cost you a lot of chips or leave you with a healthy stack.

 

 In the hand as played when villin leads out for 2K and 1/3rd of his stack with about 20bb's behind; It really looks like he is loving his hand dispite the action pre. Obv i think that there is 0% that he is folding if i jam here, and i also feel that 2k is too much to call off and would be horrid on my part. But at the same time i also feel that my draw is good enough here to jam on the flop; With 2 cards to come and hopefully my Q and J may be good as well. If i hit my draw i am in great shape, and if i miss or my overs or no good then gg me. But this one of the high varaince spots that i chose to go with,even though i knew i had no fold equity and the hand was going to show down.

wyldeyed
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May 22, 2011 - 3:49 am
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This is one of the reasons I hate the sites for making it easy for folks to pot bet. I really believe that if someone has to enter a bet they really help you out. Yes this looks very very fishy. And no he is never folding. I think pre if you are going to raise it should be upto about 925 or 950. It makes it harder for the BB to call out of pos. Yes here you have 8 live outs pretty much for sure. And maybe QJ mite be outs. But really think you could just wait and ABC it up and chip up. May just not be my style but think that waiting some would be better. Just my two cents.

Third@eye
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May 22, 2011 - 4:57 am
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Pre is better to just fold pre or limp if your feeling a bit lively imo, if your gonna raise, raise more as charging limpers 400 for a 1200 pot almost guarantees callers. I'm definately folding to the big bet on the flop you only have a streight draw and you dont even know if all your streight or pair cards are good for you or not due to possible flush draws. Even without the possible flush draws i'd fold here, I think theres much better spots to get all your chips in.

G0liath
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May 22, 2011 - 5:39 am
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Just limp behind here, your hand plays well multiway in pos. If your isolating you have to make it bigger, at least 1 extra big blind per limper, plus even more if bb is calling with KT OOP.

On the flop when he donks against all these opponents for that much he ain’t ever folding to your shove. Do you want to gamble? Do you need to gamble?

badabing78
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May 22, 2011 - 7:02 am
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99% of the time i would have folded pre. early in the tourney, no antes, good in chips-no need to play this hand.

but if i play i would raise around 5x

and on the flop i'm with goliath …

WillMcCoy
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May 22, 2011 - 4:52 pm
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Ok guys well as usual i really love the cool responses that i get when i post here. I am feeling that the verdict is in here, and seems like i am spewing here most of the time. No antes and early and plenty of time for ABC poker;And next time in this spot if i do choose to raise ill make it a regular standard open. But for now i will attempt to avoid this situation all together! Well anyway if i feel like im spewing again i will post here and see what you guys come up with!!!!!!!!!!!!!

hawkeyeK9
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May 23, 2011 - 4:21 pm
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I think your 3bet pre must be bigger here as well if that is what you chose. The open ended is not a strong draw and knowing you have no FE and you are 100% on draw, you gotta lay it down.

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