Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t150/t300 Blinds + t25 – 6 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
Alex Riko (SB): BB = 20.6, t6195
kerplunk101 (BB): BB = 26.9, t8078
phfaktor (UTG): BB = 64.9, t19480
kiskisy (MP): BB = 18.2, t5447
M_Crow14 (CO): BB = 82.9, t24865
Hero (BTN): BB = 38.0, t11414
Pre Flop: (t600) Hero is BTN with Q K
3 folds, Hero raises to t675, 1 fold, kerplunk101 calls t375
Flop: (t1650) 9 3 K (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t600, Hero calls t600
Turn: (t2850) 3 (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t900, Hero calls t900
River: (t4650) T (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t5878 all in, Hero?
$2 6max tourney, around 750 remaining 390 cash. My opponent was very aggressive post flop always betting. I decided to string him along and let him do the betting for me since i had position and i was playing pretty tight so any raise from me woulda given away the strength of my hand.
His stats were 33/22 12%-3bet. aggression factor of 8.7 over 70 hand sample
Lastly my reads on him was when he flopped top pair and nut flush draw in a previous hand, he had bet smallish for value on all 3 streets. On another hand he donk let 2/3 pot and folded to a shove getting around 2/1 odds.
Fold or call?
Sorry. I promise I am not trying to be a jerk. Short responses look mean sometimes.
I think its a fold as played because I dont think you are beating much that plays the hand like that. I really do think we can save ourselves tough decisions like these though. I really think raising the donk bet on the flop is the better line. GLGL.
going on my image and reads on villain that i specified im not raising flop since he's only continuing with hands that are beating me.
His aggression factor of almost 9 over 70 hands means he pretty much NEVER calls a bet but will almost always fold/raise. Plus im playing pretty tight and he has shown a lot of respect to my raises in previous hands. so when i do raise im pretty much telling him i have a King and allowing him to play perfectly against me. By flatting I'm giving him rope and acting weak allowing him to value bet for me, since he pretty much always does bet. Im not concerned with my flop play for those reasons.
so to my initial question, do you fold river knowing that in a previous hand he bet small for value on the river in order to get paid off? doesn't me under-repping my hand and his bet (asking me to go away) factor into the decision at all?
Ok so if you plug 33% PF range onto pokerstove and run the hand you end up with about 86% equity on the river call. You took a passive line to let him bet his bluffs and mediocre hands and you have top pair top kicker. the odds are less than 2-1 but so what compared to your equity against his range your are way ahead in th elong run. you have a read, go with it. He is certainly capable of shoving with worse hands, so to me it is a no question call.
if he would have bet less then you would be worried he had the nuts as per your read, so in a way you should be happy he shoved right?. If he happened to spike a straight, K9 or trips sigh and move on
July 3, 2010
G0liath said:
so to my initial question, do you fold river knowing that in a previous hand he bet small for value on the river in order to get paid off? doesn't me under-repping my hand and his bet (asking me to go away) factor into the decision at all?
Yeah, I think it weighs heavily on your decision. Your hand is severely under-repped here and as played I think it's a call. But part of taking the passive rope-a-dope line is occasionally you'll let them take the lead in the hand on future streets without knowing it so I don't recommend playing the check-guess/call game too many times in a tournaments.
Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t150.00/t300.00 Blinds – 6 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
Alex Riko (SB): t6195.00 20.65 BBs
kerplunk101 (BB): t8078.00 26.93 BBs
phfaktor (UTG): t19480.00 64.93 BBs
kiskisy (MP): t5447.00 18.16 BBs
M_Crow14 (CO): t24865.00 82.88 BBs
Hero (BTN): t11414.00 38.05 BBs
Pre Flop: (t450) Hero is BTN with Q K
3 folds, Hero raises to t675, 1 fold, kerplunk101 calls t375
Flop: (t1500) 9 3 K (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t600.00, Hero calls t600
Turn: (t2700) 3 (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t900.00, Hero calls t900
River: (t4500) T (2 players)
kerplunk101 bets t5878.00, Hero calls t5878
Final Pot: t16256
kerplunk101 shows 4 A
Hero shows Q K
Hero wins t16406.00
(Rake: t-150)
Definitely happy with the result, wasn't sure about the call since all i beat was a bluff (trying not to be result orientated). GG him
I am no great player but FWIW I like the way you played this given your read on him. I dont see why you would want to raise on flop or turn when you already have a very strong made hand AND a draw. Raising flop only allows him to fold if he's beat. On the river, I think its a definite call given your line and his image. Besides, what exactly could he have that beats you: AK is reraising pre, trips on flop prolly wouldnt donk lead, same for K9, JQ ?! I think you are almost always ahead and would put him on a missed flush draw … and I thought that before seeing the solution. So good call and nicely played imho.
All the best,
B
You want to raise on the flop or turn to gain control of pot. If he reraises, the villain is checking the river not shoving. It’s the best play for +EV. The villain has control of this pot from the flop inducing the all in shove. If your “instincts” are incorrect you are left crippled with 17BB.
His donk-lead on the flop is almost always a pretty weak hand. Sometimes a very very strong hand. If I raise, given his tendency to never flat (AF – 8.7), he’s most likely folding or re-raising. If he folds what do I gain? If he re-raises how do I like my hand now? Ok I get it in with the FD pretty standard, but I don’t like it since I know I’m behind far too often and I’ve wasted my positional advantage in the hand. So I really really don’t like the raise on the flop. Like I said, it gives away that I have a king and allows him to play perfectly. If I had AQ or TT then I probably would raise.
There are arguments for raising turn but again I want to get value from his weaker Kx or 9x so I decide to continue my passive (I have a weak hand or a draw) line. I probably raise here if I know he’s not re-raising or folding in response.
The flop and turn plays as it does because I have position and a good read on my opponent. I would definatley look to get the money in quicker if I was in the SB not on the BTN. But I think I knew where I was in the hand the whole way, even though I didn’t have ‘control’ and played passive… Bigdog bet-raise-shove moves are great if your playing loose aggro and get paid off with any trash. but I was playing tight and I believe I played it for maximum value (flop and turn) given my image/read/position.
I strongly disagree with the above statement – with respect.
Sure there are donks that pay attention to nothing but their cards. But there are plenty of players making money at these stakes that are paying attention. Especially in the latter stages of tournaments once the complete noobs have departed. ‘Opponent player types’ is one of the first chapters in any beginner poker book, and one of the next things people are taught about right after what hand beats what.
How are we as small stakes players expected to improve our decision making skills if were advised to completely omit a pretty important fundemental factor in the decision making process.
Your basicly advising people to play more like a fish…
October 6, 2010
goliath there is a VERY big difference between you reading player types and assuming other people are doing the same.
in my experience at a $2 level 99% of the people are level 1 players. to beat these stakes all you have to do is play tight, solid poker. worrying about what they think of your own image is overthinking it, and all you do is outlevel yourself.
secondly, i know you aren't meaning to, but if someone disagrees with you, then it is not your job to try and convince them otherwise – let them do this on their own. you are coming across like you have spent too much time at 2p2. im not trying to have a go, but some of your posts are slightly combative.
good luck at the tables
fwiw i get it in on the flop, but as played i snap off on the river.
Oops sorry. Had no idea I was coming across that way
I do enjoy a good reasoned debate – being a philosophy fan, if I’ve got a point to make I’ll usually make it. There is absolutely no intention to be combative i guess it’s just in my nature.. I thought it was part of the learning process to exchange ideas and iron out each others flaws – If anybody thinks I’m intending to upset them or troll or flame them I sincerely apologise.
I am very sorry and like any good poker player i will ‘adjust’
benf1 said:
I am no great player but FWIW I like the way you played this given your read on him. I dont see why you would want to raise on flop or turn when you already have a very strong made hand AND a draw. Raising flop only allows him to fold if he's beat. On the river, I think its a definite call given your line and his image. Besides, what exactly could he have that beats you: AK is reraising pre, trips on flop prolly wouldnt donk lead, same for K9, JQ ?! I think you are almost always ahead and would put him on a missed flush draw … and I thought that before seeing the solution. So good call and nicely played imho.
All the best,
B
Really like the thinking here. I pretty much feel exactly this. The only problem with calling is its super tilting when you call and he rolls over QJ but I think you can call and be good here a reasonable amount of time.
October 6, 2010
G0liath said:
Oops sorry. Had no idea I was coming across that way
I do enjoy a good reasoned debate – being a philosophy fan, if I've got a point to make I'll usually make it. There is absolutely no intention to be combative i guess it's just in my nature.. I thought it was part of the learning process to exchange ideas and iron out each others flaws – If anybody thinks I'm intending to upset them or troll or flame them I sincerely apologise.
I am very sorry and like any good poker player i will 'adjust'
Most Users Ever Online: 2780
Currently Online:
50 Guest(s)
Currently Browsing this Page:
1 Guest(s)
Top Posters:
bennymacca: 2616
Foucault: 2067
folding_aces_pre_yo: 1133
praetor: 1033
theginger45: 924
P-aire 146: 832
Turbulence: 768
The Riceman: 731
duggs: 591
florianm1: 588
Newest Members:
Tillery999
sdmathis89
ne0x00
adrianvaida2525
Anteeater
Laggro
Forum Stats:
Groups: 4
Forums: 24
Topics: 12705
Posts: 75003
Member Stats:
Guest Posters: 1063
Members: 12008
Moderators: 2
Admins: 5
Administrators: RonFezBuddy, Killingbird, Tournament Poker Edge Staff, ttwist, Carlos
Moderators: sitelock, sitelock_1