Don't think the guy is ever shoving AA or KK here. I put him on tens or jacks or ak at best. Is this a no brainer?
Poker Stars $10 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t700/t1400 Blinds + t175 – 9 players
Hand Conversion courtesy of Tournament Poker Edge
Hexxer14 (MP1): BB = 11.2, t15709
chechebobos (MP2): BB = 33.8, t47373
paulinhos007 (CO): BB = 48.9, t68401
tonymark01 (BTN): BB = 12.8, t17930
JAYE SL (SB): BB = 31.9, t44676
SSSTOOOAAAK (BB): BB = 32.9, t46045
Pie-Eater68 (UTG): BB = 8.5, t11877
Pet37 (UTG+1): BB = 14.7, t20561
nita88 (UTG+2): BB = 39.9, t55851
Pre Flop: (t3675) chechebobos is MP2 with Q[Image Can Not Be Found] Q[Image Can Not Be Found]
4 folds, chechebobos raises to t3185, 2 folds, JAYE SL raises to t44501 all in, 1 fold, chechebobos calls t41316
Killingbird said:
I tihnk your read is spot on. I think he just puts in a standard 3 bet with AA or KK, so this is AK a ton and a couple smaller pairs the rest of the time.
I feel comfy getting it in here.
I pretty much agree — his range is def leaning towards medium pocket pairs and AK.
Thanks. He jammed k 9 hearts and got there. Sometimes I feel like folding these spots because I don’t want to flip for my tournament life. Guess you gotta play the odds though. I entered the hand into …..xas-holdem to check odds and he is going to win there 1 out of three times. Seems kinda sick…
this is a snippity snap call and you just have to keep in mind that in MTTs we're often pushing thin, marginal edges–meaning our opponents are going to win the particular hand a pretty decent amount of the time (in this specific hand your opponent, as you discovered, has a bit over 30% equity), but that over the long run you will be coming out on top.
That's not to say that this is a thin or marginal edge at all. We are absolutely crushing his range and often you're going to be getting it in with 80% equity.
July 3, 2010
Hagbard Celine said:
this is a snippity snap call and you just have to keep in mind that in MTTs we're often pushing thin, marginal edges–meaning our opponents are going to win the particular hand a pretty decent amount of the time (in this specific hand your opponent, as you discovered, has a bit over 30% equity), but that over the long run you will be coming out on top.
That's not to say that this is a thin or marginal edge at all. We are absolutely crushing his range and often you're going to be getting it in with 80% equity.
This. His range is basically 77-JJ, AQ, and AK. Such a fishy shove that I almost instantly assign AK to the villain in these spots and if he happened to just lose a big pot then his range is any two cards in the deck.
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